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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GST who wrote (119633)	11/15/2003 11:52:06 AM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Arafat seems to be winning. I would say he is winning internally in Palestinian politics, while losing disastrously outside. Not for the first time, if you check his career low points in Jordan, Lebanon and Tunisia. The Terror War is not going to make Israel retreat under fire. By now, most PLO leaders recgonize it, but their internal political decision-making apparatus is completely paralysed while Arafat lives. Nobody feels like volunteering to suffer Abu Mazen's fate again. And when you consider the cease-fire that Abu Mazen was trying to implement in the face of Arafat's opposition, remember that Abu Mazen is not an opposition figure - he's Arafat's loyal lieutenant of 40 years. It is the center of the mystery to me, how Arafat maintains his iron grip on power even as he ages and gets sicker. From what I can tell, a large percentage of Fatah and PLO senior leadership know the course is a disaster, yet they are unable to change direction or to force Arafat to share power.