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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (119666)	11/16/2003 12:07:28 AM
From: Sun Tzu	Respond to of 281500

> Gonna be one hell of a civil war over those oil reserves, don't ya think? It does not have to be. Both the Kurd in the north and the Shia in the south have plenty of oil. The Sunnis in the middle can make money off the pipelines that has to pass through their region. I think a civil war is likely but not for the reason you mention.

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (119666)	11/16/2003 2:40:56 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Hawk, the COW won fair and square. About 70% of Iraqis do NOT want the COW to leave Iraq any time soon. There need not be any fighting over the oil, which should be owned by the NUN rather than the locals who happen to be living in the vicinity. Fighting will be unattractive if there's a good alternative to tribal fighting for supremacy. The best way to prevent fighting is by creating political structures which nearly everyone finds better than fighting, which nearly everyone knows is a bad idea if it can be avoided. In the same way, if I find oil on my property here, I don't own it. Neither does the city in which I live. The oil is owned by the state. Eminent domain is the jargon apparently. Or Public Interest. Or something else along those lines. The nearest thing to a state in Iraq is the COW, which is representing the UN, which is an undemocratic dysfunctional bureaucracy which is unfit to hold eminent domain over anything. That's why I say it needs a constitutional conference to create something workable. Mqurice