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To: Ed Ajootian who wrote (27188)11/22/2003 11:14:33 AM
From: mabiba  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206085
 
Interesting post by Robry, about a study of the past 8 winter drawdowns, adjusted for today's supply/demand dynamics; maybe a better way to use past data to predict this winter...
This study says that if this winter's weather mimics that of one of the last 8 years, we would end up this season with between 552 and 1276 BCF (average 964 BCF) of NG in storage.
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However, I don't understand, near the bottom of his post, the effect of the probable "increased baseline slope". Would a larger slope increase or decrease season-end storage?