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Politics : Just the Facts, Ma'am: A Compendium of Liberal Fiction -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: American Spirit who wrote (1115)11/17/2003 8:11:09 PM
From: Oeconomicus  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 90947
 
Sorry but Bush loses to an unnamed Democrat in most polls these days...

"Most polls"? OK, now you're a liar. I've cited several polls that say otherwise while you've cited just one, the Marist Poll.

But since you now want to focus on speculating about future polls and the election itself (though we have no idea who will be running), let's do that. The economy is growing strongly, with real GDP rising 7.2% last qtr and probably at least 3-4% the next two or three qtrs, and with positive job growth four months in a row now and accelerating, the issue voters say matters most no longer favors the Dems. Iraq, then, is the only remaining issue for the Dems to campaign on. But since 63% of Americans still agree that the war was necessary, the anti-war, "bring 'em home at any cost" candidates likely can't win a general election. That leaves the "we know we said we supported it, but we've changed our minds" candidates and the "we support it, but we would have done it better" candidates. Trouble is, voters see right through the first group's lie and none of the latter has a convincing argument as to how they'd have done better. Plus, Americans still trust Republicans more than Democrats on foreign policy.