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Biotech / Medical : NPSP NPS Pharmaceutical -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mopgcw who wrote (177)11/17/2003 8:16:33 PM
From: tom pope  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 363
 
Thanks, mopgcw, but that is really quite funny. Although I understand every word of the note (which is not always the case when I read biotech reports) I haven't the vaguest idea what the buy/sell conclusions might be in the analyst's mind.

Tom



To: mopgcw who wrote (177)11/17/2003 8:21:13 PM
From: tom pope  Respond to of 363
 
Here's what ML has to say

Amgen (AMGN) - Raise 04 and 05 estimates by a penny. AMGN reported
phase III data using Cinacalcet to treat secondary hyperparathyroidism.
The data suggests strong efficacy with good tolerability. Approval should
occur faster than expected, thus we adjusted our estimates accordingly.
Based on priority review, we project US approval of Cinacalcet in late
1Q04 with launch in 2Q04, which is 6 months earlier than expected. EU
launch should occur in late 2004. We estimate WW peak sales of more
than $500 MM. Reiterate Buy and $81 target. Also, although good data
for Roche's CERA was released, because the drug is merely a pegylated
version of Neorecormon, it will likely eventually face a patent infringement
challenge from Amgen.



To: mopgcw who wrote (177)11/17/2003 8:25:32 PM
From: tom pope  Respond to of 363
 
and here's the NPSP end of the ML take:

Phase III data suggests that Cinacalcet is effective at reducing PTH, phosphorous
and calcium levels. Also, the drug will receive priority review suggesting faster
than expected approval. We reiterate our Buy and $46 price objective on NPSP.