To: RealMuLan who wrote (1518 ) 11/18/2003 7:22:31 PM From: RealMuLan Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6370 US can't rely solely on might JOSEPH S. NYE JR JUST over a year ago the Bush administration published its National Security Strategy, which articulated a dramatic change in its foreign policy outlook after the events of Sept 11, 2001. The new strategy declared that 'we are menaced less by fleets and armies than by catastrophic technologies falling into the hands of the embittered few'. Instead of strategic rivalry, 'today, the world's great powers find ourselves on the same side - united by common dangers of terrorist violence and chaos'. The rhetoric of the new strategy attracted criticism at home and abroad, but critics notwithstanding, the distinguished Yale historian John Lewis Gaddis has compared it to the seminal days that redefined American foreign policy in the 1940s. The new strategy responded to the deep trends in world politics that were illuminated by the events of Sept 11. Globalisation, for instance, has proved itself to be more than just an economic phenomenon; it has been wearing away at the natural buffers that two oceans and distance have always provided to the United States. 'PRIVATE WAR' THREAT THE implications of state failure are also clear: dreadful conditions in poor, weak countries halfway around the world can have terrible consequences for the US. The gravest threat, however, is posed by the privatisation of war. One surprise attack by a transnational terrorist group killed more Americans than the state of Japan did in 1941. The democratisation of technology over the past decades has made terrorists more lethal and more agile, a trend that is likely to continue. Traditional state-centric analysts think that punishing states that sponsor terrorism can solve the problem. But such punitive measures might help, but they cannot stop individuals who have already gained access to destructive technology. After all, Timothy McVeigh in the US and the Aum Shinrikyo doomsday cult in Japan were not sponsored by states.straitstimes.asia1.com.sg