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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: que seria who wrote (41842)11/21/2003 2:55:26 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Respond to of 74559
 
Que, I agree an actual war or even blockades can't possibly make sense. So what's with the belligerent threats of war from Jiang's underlings? He's still boss man of the PLA. Hu doesn't have the power of the barrel yet.

I think as with the sars debacle, this debacle will result in the further marginalisation of Jiang and his atavistic reactionary 20th century fossils and more power to Hu who will continue to bring China into the 21st century [even if Yiwu likes the idea of carnage and mayhem].

But, suppose China does in fact go for expansionary power, I doubt the USA would stand idly by and see Taiwan subsumed. Next on the list would be South Korea. It wouldn't be good for the free world to be pushed backwards. We saw too much of that in the 20th century. I don't want a repeat in the 21st century.

Mqurice



To: que seria who wrote (41842)11/21/2003 11:12:51 AM
From: AC Flyer  Respond to of 74559
 
>>2. The U.S. intervening would lead to lasting enmity between the U.S. and China, and the U.S. can't afford to alienate China now that we're increasingly dependent upon its credit and factories.<<

I would respectfully suggest that the reverse is true. Citizens, businesses and governments of sovereign nations around the world desire US dollars - the world's de facto reserve currency - so that they can, of their own free will, invest in US financial assets.

China needs access to the world's greatest market (the US) far more than the US needs Chinese products.