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Strategies & Market Trends : Natural Resource Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ruffian who wrote (3755)11/26/2003 12:49:05 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 108745
 
only real growth I see is in debt levels
and jobs heading to Asia
it is possible that the USEconomy could continue to show signs of growth even as it implodes

we pay far too much attention to GDP and productivity
GDP is a doctored statistic, using goofy shit about self-paid rent to homeowners, self-paid credits for checking accounts, funny accounting for foreign subsidiaries providing component supply labor and value added services, and much more

productivity numbers are "pure imports" and do nothing to add to jobs, only profits, and maybe a little capital equipment additions

we have 12% unemployment now and people actually believe the recovery story

in 2-3 quarters this will growth spurt will have dissipated
it requires such massive monetary and fiscal stimulus that cannot be imagined
CURRENT STIMULUS EXCEEDS ANYTHING EVER WITNESSED IN HUMAN HISTORY

the Fed and the USGovt cannot continue the required stimulus to maintain
check the money supply figures for signs of distress
check the capital flows from Asia for more signs of distress
check USDept Trez tax withholdings for clear evidence of no recovery

this entire recovery is vapid
the biggest curve ball you will ever see in economics
not a single aggregate statistic can be defended as valid

jobs data include 40-50 thousand "assumed" jobs each month
THAT IS THE JOB GROWTH SEEN NOW, ALL ASSUMED FROM NEW BUSINESS CREATION ASSUMPTIONS
the list of utter crappola goes on and on and on and on
/ jim