Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : News Links and Chart Links -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Les H who wrote (9209)	11/26/2003 7:42:29 PM
From: Les H	Respond to of 29602

9-month cycle Schedule: 10-, 20-, and 40-week cycles lows starting from Mar 12, 2003 _ cycle tendencies _ 10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low range Mar 12, 03 start start start 789 none Apr 7 green green green 880 + 91 905 +116 N.A. N.A. Apr 29 yellow green green 918 + 38 924 + 44 863 - 17 61 May 22 red yellow green 932 + 14 949 + 31 903 - 15 46 Jun 16 green yellow green 1011 + 79 1011 + 79 927 - 5 84 Jul 8 yellow red yellow 1008 - 3 1015 + 4 962 - 49 53 Jul 31 red red yellow 990 - 18 1015 + 7 976 - 32 39 Aug 25 green green yellow 994 + 4 1011 + 21 961 - 29 50 Sep 16 yellow green yellow 1029 + 35 1032 + 38 983 - 11 49 Oct 9 red yellow red 1039 + 10 1048 + 19 990 - 39 58 Nov 3 green yellow red 1059 + 20 1061 + 22 1018 - 21 43 Nov 25 yellow red red 1054 - 5 1064 + 5 1031 - 28 33 Dec 18 red red red 1058 + 4 1058 + 4 1048 - 6 10 Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001 _ cycle tendencies _ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range Sep 21, 01 start start start 965 none Oct 17 green green green 1077 +112 1107 +142 N.A. N.A. Nov 12 yellow green green 1118 + 41 1135 + 58 1053 - 24 82 Dec 7 red yellow green 1158 + 40 1173 + 55 1118 - 0 55 Jan 4, 02 green yellow green 1172 + 14 1176 + 18 1114 - 44 62 Jan 28 yellow red yellow 1133 - 39 1177 + 5 1117 - 55 60 Feb 22 red red yellow 1090 - 43 1138 + 5 1074 - 59 64 Mar 20 green green yellow 1152 + 62 1174 + 84 1074 - 16 100 Apr 15 yellow green yellow 1102 - 50 1156 + 4 1099 - 53 57 May 10 red yellow red 1055 - 47 1133 + 31 1049 - 53 84 Jun 5 green yellow red 1050 - 5 1106 + 51 1030 - 25 76 Jul 1 yellow red red 968 - 67 1050 + 0 953 - 97 97 Jul 26 red red red 853 -115 993 + 25 775 -193 218 Aug 21 green green green 949 + 96 951 + 98 833 - 20 118 Sep 16 yellow yellow yellow 891 - 58 965 + 16 870 - 79 95 Oct 11 red red red 848 - 55 902 + 11 768 -123 134 Nov 6 green green green 924 + 76 925 + 77 804 - 44 121 Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 10 954 + 30 872 - 52 82 Dec 27 red yellow yellow 875 - 59 934 + 0 873 - 61 61 Jan 22, 03 green yellow yellow 878 + 3 935 + 60 869 - 6 66 Feb 18 yellow red red 851 - 27 890 + 12 806 - 72 84 Mar 14 red red red 833 - 18 852 + 1 789 - 62 63 Apr 9 green green green 866 + 33 905 + 72 827 - 6 78 May 5 yellow green green 926 + 60 934 + 68 863 - 3 71 May 30 red yellow green 963 + 37 965 + 39 912 - 14 53 Jun 25 green yellow green 975 + 12 1015 + 52 963 NC 52 Jul 21 yellow red yellow 979 + 4 1015 + 40 962 - 13 53 Aug 15 red red yellow 990 + 11 1004 + 25 961 - 18 43 Sep 10 green green yellow 1011 + 21 1032 + 42 983 - 7 49 Oct 6 yellow green yellow 1034 + 23 1040 + 29 990 - 21 50 Oct 31 red yellow red 1051 + 17 1053 + 19 1018 - 16 35 Nov 26 green yellow red 1058 + 7 1064 + 13 1031 - 20 33 Dec 23 yellow red red Jan 16, 04 red red red Feb 11 green green green Mar 8 yellow green green Apr 2 red yellow yellow Apr 28 green yellow yellow May 24 yellow red red Jun 18 red red red Jul 14 green green green Aug 9 yellow green green Sep 3 red yellow green Sep 29 green yellow green Oct 25 yellow red yellow Nov 19 red red yellow Dec 15 green green yellow Jan 10, 05 yellow green yellow Feb 4 red yellow red 22-week cycle Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11) Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4) Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3) May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1) Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4) Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7) Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2) Mar 10-14, 03 22 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11) May 27-30, 03 11 weeks high 965 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7) Aug 11-15, 03 22 weeks trough flat 990 next high 1053 on Oct 31 (week 11) Oct 27-31, 03 55 weeks trough high 1051 next high 1064 on Nov 14 (week 2) Jan 12-16, 04 11 weeks Mar 29-02, 04 22 weeks trough Jun 14-18, 04 11 weeks Aug 30-03, 04 22 weeks trough Nov 15-19, 04 11 weeks 26-week Dow cycle troughs Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379 Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks sample size 10 Spring sample 6 Fall sample 4 total 253 weeks total 132 weeks total 121 weeks average 25 weeks average 22 weeks average 30 weeks st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 3 weeks next approximate Dow trough Dec 24, 03 20 weeks minimum length in sample Jan 28, 04 25 weeks average length in sample Mar 3, 04 30 weeks average length in Fall sample Mar 24, 04 33 weeks 55-week low source of dates timeanddate.com

To: Les H who wrote (9209)	11/28/2003 7:13:30 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29602

9-month cycle Schedule: 10-, 20-, and 40-week cycles lows starting from Mar 12, 2003 _ cycle tendencies _ 10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low range Mar 12, 03 start start start 789 none Apr 7 green green green 880 + 91 905 +116 N.A. N.A. Apr 29 yellow green green 918 + 38 924 + 44 863 - 17 61 May 22 red yellow green 932 + 14 949 + 31 903 - 15 46 Jun 16 green yellow green 1011 + 79 1011 + 79 927 - 5 84 Jul 8 yellow red yellow 1008 - 3 1015 + 4 962 - 49 53 Jul 31 red red yellow 990 - 18 1015 + 7 976 - 32 39 Aug 25 green green yellow 994 + 4 1011 + 21 961 - 29 50 Sep 16 yellow green yellow 1029 + 35 1032 + 38 983 - 11 49 Oct 9 red yellow red 1039 + 10 1048 + 19 990 - 39 58 Nov 3 green yellow red 1059 + 20 1061 + 22 1018 - 21 43 Nov 25 yellow red red 1054 - 5 1064 + 5 1031 - 28 33 Dec 18 red red red 1058 + 4 1061 + 7 1048 - 6 13 Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001 _ cycle tendencies _ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range Sep 21, 01 start start start 965 none Oct 17 green green green 1077 +112 1107 +142 N.A. N.A. Nov 12 yellow green green 1118 + 41 1135 + 58 1053 - 24 82 Dec 7 red yellow green 1158 + 40 1173 + 55 1118 - 0 55 Jan 4, 02 green yellow green 1172 + 14 1176 + 18 1114 - 44 62 Jan 28 yellow red yellow 1133 - 39 1177 + 5 1117 - 55 60 Feb 22 red red yellow 1090 - 43 1138 + 5 1074 - 59 64 Mar 20 green green yellow 1152 + 62 1174 + 84 1074 - 16 100 Apr 15 yellow green yellow 1102 - 50 1156 + 4 1099 - 53 57 May 10 red yellow red 1055 - 47 1133 + 31 1049 - 53 84 Jun 5 green yellow red 1050 - 5 1106 + 51 1030 - 25 76 Jul 1 yellow red red 968 - 67 1050 + 0 953 - 97 97 Jul 26 red red red 853 -115 993 + 25 775 -193 218 Aug 21 green green green 949 + 96 951 + 98 833 - 20 118 Sep 16 yellow yellow yellow 891 - 58 965 + 16 870 - 79 95 Oct 11 red red red 848 - 55 902 + 11 768 -123 134 Nov 6 green green green 924 + 76 925 + 77 804 - 44 121 Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 10 954 + 30 872 - 52 82 Dec 27 red yellow yellow 875 - 59 934 + 0 873 - 61 61 Jan 22, 03 green yellow yellow 878 + 3 935 + 60 869 - 6 66 Feb 18 yellow red red 851 - 27 890 + 12 806 - 72 84 Mar 14 red red red 833 - 18 852 + 1 789 - 62 63 Apr 9 green green green 866 + 33 905 + 72 827 - 6 78 May 5 yellow green green 926 + 60 934 + 68 863 - 3 71 May 30 red yellow green 963 + 37 965 + 39 912 - 14 53 Jun 25 green yellow green 975 + 12 1015 + 52 963 NC 52 Jul 21 yellow red yellow 979 + 4 1015 + 40 962 - 13 53 Aug 15 red red yellow 990 + 11 1004 + 25 961 - 18 43 Sep 10 green green yellow 1011 + 21 1032 + 42 983 - 7 49 Oct 6 yellow green yellow 1034 + 23 1040 + 29 990 - 21 50 Oct 31 red yellow red 1051 + 17 1053 + 19 1018 - 16 35 Nov 26 green yellow red 1058 + 7 1064 + 13 1031 - 20 33 Dec 23 yellow red red Jan 16, 04 red red red Feb 11 green green green Mar 8 yellow green green Apr 2 red yellow yellow Apr 28 green yellow yellow May 24 yellow red red Jun 18 red red red Jul 14 green green green Aug 9 yellow green green Sep 3 red yellow green Sep 29 green yellow green Oct 25 yellow red yellow Nov 19 red red yellow Dec 15 green green yellow Jan 10, 05 yellow green yellow Feb 4 red yellow red 22-week cycle Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11) Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4) Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3) May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1) Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4) Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7) Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2) Mar 10-14, 03 22 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11) May 27-30, 03 11 weeks high 965 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7) Aug 11-15, 03 22 weeks trough flat 990 next high 1053 on Oct 31 (week 11) Oct 27-31, 03 55 weeks trough high 1051 next high 1064 on Nov 14 (week 2) Jan 12-16, 04 11 weeks Mar 29-02, 04 22 weeks trough Jun 14-18, 04 11 weeks Aug 30-03, 04 22 weeks trough Nov 15-19, 04 11 weeks 26-week Dow cycle troughs Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379 Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks sample size 10 Spring sample 6 Fall sample 4 total 253 weeks total 132 weeks total 121 weeks average 25 weeks average 22 weeks average 30 weeks st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 3 weeks next approximate Dow trough Dec 24, 03 20 weeks minimum length in sample Jan 28, 04 25 weeks average length in sample Mar 3, 04 30 weeks average length in Fall sample Mar 24, 04 33 weeks 55-week low source of dates timeanddate.com