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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (497364)	11/23/2003 3:20:11 PM
From: Richard S	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

Hi Lizzie: Its interesting you ask about Illinois. We currently have both a Democratic Governor and a Democratic State Legislature because of a scandal with our last governor George Ryan. Yes, from what I've seen most people in Illinois - probably about 55 to 45 want to replace Bush. However, as is the case with most big city states, i.e. NY, Ca, Michigan most of the Democratic votes are centered in the city, in this case, Chicago, and most of the Republican votes are in the suburbs. I live in a suburb county which is about 95-97% Republican. The best way, I think, to determine if Bush will lose is to look at the "Pink versus Blue" Map that was used during the Gore / Bush election and determine which states will stay in the Bush column and which may switch to Dean. Yes, the job market is nd remains weak here. If you compare Michigan, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois and Wisconsin: Michigan is probably worst, Illinois is second, Indiana is third, and Ohio is best. However, the manufacturing sector including auto, steel is in tough shape no matter what, as these industries are in decline. I have a brother-in-law who works for US Steel in Indiana, and a brother-in-law who works for (Damlier Benz)Jeep in Toledo, Ohio. Neither one of them is very optimistic about their industries. Bob Brinker made an interesting comment on his program last week. If Bush decides to lift the tariff on steel then he probably feels that the job market will improve sufficiently to replace the lost jobs, if Bush continues to hold the tariff in place (which I believe he has until November 30 to decide) then most likely Bush is concerned that there will not be enough jobs created next year to replace the manufacturing jobs lost.