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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LindyBill who wrote (17886)11/27/2003 4:55:22 AM
From: greenspirit  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 793620
 
This article is funny on a number of different levels. The first one is the 12 trillion dollar American economy grew by 8.2 percent and the poco Canadian economy is expected to grow by 1.8%. So, let's not go taking economic lessons from Canada.

The second thing is look at the way they've phrased these growth numbers. It looks like they're almost gleeful that growth is this high. Imagine a similar article with these growth numbers coming from an American press report.

The third issue is they believe this level of growth automatically means they should raise interest rates.

As I said, too funny....

Economy will grow by 1.8%: OECD
Outlook matches forecast from private sector

Central bank might have to raise interest rates
thestar.com

STEVEN THEOBALD
CANADIAN PRESS

Canada's economic growth is accelerating with enough strength that the central bank ought to be raising interest rates soon, says the OECD.

Canadian real gross domestic product, hobbled in the first half of 2003 by shocks such as SARS, is in full recovery mode and will expand by 1.8 per cent this year, the Organization for Co-operation and Development said yesterday.

"Since most of the above-mentioned shocks have now ceased to affect output, a strong bounce-back is expected in the last quarter of 2003, as also suggested by the recent pickup in job creation," the OECD said.

"Activity should continue to expand thereafter at a pace slightly exceeding that of potential output, even though the lagged effects of exchange rate appreciation will continue to be felt for some time."

Real GDP will increase by 2.8 per cent next year and 3.2 per cent in 2005, the Paris-based group predicted.

The OECD forecast lined up with private-sector outlooks, but what caused a bit of a stir was its warning that the Bank of Canada "will need to be ready to resume monetary tightening as soon as the recovery is firmly in place."

Financial markets reacted to the report by buying Canadian dollars, starting with currency traders overseas.

"It got a lot of air time in Europe this morning," said Andrew Pyle, senior financial markets economist at Scotia Capital.

The Canadian dollar ended the day at 76.68 cents (U.S.), up 0.36 of a cent. It has gained about 20 per cent so far this year.

Mark Lévesque, senior economist at the Toronto Dominion Bank, noted this latest OECD forecast basically matches private sector expectations.

"What they are doing is the same thing as everyone else is doing, that is, taking account of a very strong outlook for the U.S. but at the same time a lagged and ongoing impact of an appreciating Canadian dollar."

The OECD's warning to the Bank of Canada might, however, have convinced some currency traders that the central bank will not be cutting interest rates, Lévesque noted.

Financial markets had priced in a 50 per cent chance of easing following bank governor David Dodge's speech last week suggesting he would act if the currency continued to rise unabated.

"If you have the OECD saying they may have to hike interest rates you may some unwinding of those expectations," Lévesque said.

Also yesterday, Statistics Canada reported its industrial producer price index, which tracks prices manufacturers receive for their goods, was 3.8 per cent lower last month than October, 2002. Excluding the impact of the rising loonie, the index would have risen 0.9 per cent, StatsCan added.

with files from Reuters news agency



To: LindyBill who wrote (17886)11/27/2003 10:17:24 AM
From: KLP  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793620
 
Dems Face Hard Truth of Soft Money Ban

Tuesday, November 25, 2003

By Dick Morris

foxnews.com

The Democratic Party is being replaced by a new group called "Americans Coming Together," which has been launched with two $10 million donations from financier George Soros and Peter B. Lewis, chairman of the Progressive Corporation. The new organization wants to raise $94 million to finance a massive campaign against Bush -- all with soft money.

The Democratic Party, which is only allowed to raise hard money (donations limited to $2,000 per person) by the McCain-Feingold law is unable to amass the resources necessary for a national campaign, so it is ceding the main role to Americans Coming Together.

Hypocrisy in American politics at least provides material for humor. How else are we to view the attempts of Democratic Party leaders to circumvent the McCain-Feingold prohibition on the use of soft money in campaigns after their party insisted on its inclusion in the bill?

As the campaign-finance-reform bill went through Congress, Democrats demanded a ban on soft money donations to political parties. They succeeded in including it as the reform's centerpiece.

But it turns out that Republicans are raising twice as much as Democrats are in hard money: $158 million for the GOP vs. $66.5 million for the Democrats. So the Democrats have resorted to a loophole in McCain-Feingold and worked to maximize soft money contributions to phony political committees, allegedly independent of the party apparatus and thus not covered by the soft money ban.

The Democrats have always found hard money hard to come by. In the last election cycle, they financed 56 percent of their campaign costs with soft money while the Republicans used soft money for only 39 percent.

This lastest shift is not a case of matching a Republican move. The GOP has only begun to explore the loophole the Democrats are busy using. It is hypocrisy, plain and simple.

Americans Coming Together, a supposedly independent campaign committee, is reportedly one-third of the way toward its fund-raising goal. Its nominal independence from the Democratic Party, required by McCain-Feingold, is paper-thin.

Harold Ickes, President Bill Clinton's former deputy chief of staff who helped orchestrate the soft money fund-raising that financed the 1996 Clinton campaign, is working closely with Soros to fund Americans Coming Together.

Ickes has not always honored the boundaries between supposedly independent expenditures and political campaigns required by the Federal Elections Commission.

I almost fell through the floor of the White House early in 1996 when I attended a meeting chaired by Ickes of representatives of the political action committees of major American labor unions. Gathered in the Roosevelt Room of the White House, they each recounted their plans for "independent expenditures" against the Republicans in the coming election campaign. The meeting, quite illegal in many ways, represented exactly the kind of co-ordination forbidden by the campaign-finance laws.

Ickes is about as independent of Hillary as Bill is. He is her chief advisor. His photo graces her memoirs. He was her key operative in securing the Senate seat in New York. To pretend that anything he would do is independent of Hillary is like saying that the left hand is independent of the right hand.

One motivation for the Clinton move to circumvent the Democratic Party and establish a lifeboat in the form of Americans Working Together is that they view with alarm Howard Dean's rise to the Democratic nomination.

Dean, upon copping the prize, is likely to fire Terry MacAuliffe and take control of the Democratic National Committee. No longer will its coffers be available to the Clintons to use as their private fund, channeling donations to candidates and causes they favor or that favor them.

So, before the hand-over of party power from Clinton to Dean takes place, they are working on stripping the Democratic Party of its central role and giving it to the more pliant Americans Working Together, instead.

The Clintons' efforts to sidetrack Dean haven't worked. Wesley Clark is collapsing in most national polls and has yet to find a primary to his liking to enter in force. John Kerry, whose campaign staff quit last week, is having difficulty raising funds even though the Clintons and the Kennedys have sent him their top operatives to try to bail him out.

Dean seems destined to win the nomination and with it control of the party. So the Clintons are moving out.

HILLARY GOES LIBERAL: It's official. Hillary is a liberal. For those who doubted whether she was a "new" Democrat or an old one, her vote yesterday to continue the Kennedy filibuster of the president's Medicare prescription-drug benefit should settle the question. In the most important vote of the decade, so far, she voted with 25 other liberal Democrats against 22 moderates who voted for closure. This vote separated the left from the center of the party, and Hillary opted to go left. Big mistake.