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To: ild who wrote (269256)12/2/2003 12:18:36 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 436258
 
Look at the same picture from the other angle. Specs are very long. At some point they will want to take profits and stops will be run. The fact that short specs have covered at a loss is also bearish. Of course the specs are the ones who drive the market, but as of now risk/reward is not favorable IMO.

I agree with that 100% and that is exactly how I look at it.
I cashed out 3/4 of my silver spreads and 2/3 of my gold spreads. Had a gold call and just wrot a higher strike against it today for the same price. That spread I own for free. If the US$ can catch a bid somehow, I think gold can be in for a very sharp pullback.

Ammost all of my gold positions are hedged as well as my silver futures. Have covered calls sold against nearly everything and have taken a lot of profits on stuff too.

M