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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (6943)12/3/2003 8:16:52 AM
From: JakeStraw  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10965
 
Does Teresa Heinz Trust John Kerry?
If not, why should we?
By Timothy Noah
Posted Tuesday, Dec. 2, 2003, at 5:12 PM PT

If Teresa Heinz won't trust presidential candidate John Kerry with her money, why should American voters trust Kerry with their country?

Teresa Heinz and Sen. John Kerry, D., Mass., were married in 1995. Kerry's assets at the time were a few million dollars. Heinz's assets at the time were reportedly around half a billion dollars, which she'd inherited from her late husband, Sen. John Heinz, R., Pa., heir to the ketchup fortune. Unlike many other married couples, Heinz and Kerry kept their premarital assets separate. Much of Teresa Heinz's inheritance was no doubt tied up in trusts, but a substantial sum must have been unencumbered, because she had Sen. Kerry sign a pre-nuptial agreement. "Everybody has a prenup," Heinz explained to Lisa DiPaulo, who profiled her sympathetically in Elle.

You have to have a prenup. You've got three kids with somebody else, you've got to have a prenup. You could be as generous or as sensitive as you want. But you have to have a prenup.

By all accounts, Teresa Heinz had no interest in becoming first lady during her 25-year marriage to John Heinz (who died in a 1991 plane crash). "Over my dead body," she told John. Apparently she spent the first seven years of her marriage to John Kerry telling him the same thing. According to a Nov. 30 profile by Maeve Reston in the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, "It was only last year that she says she changed her mind and told Kerry she would support his decision to run."

This narrative acquired more than sentimental interest a couple of weeks ago after Kerry decided to follow Howard Dean's lead and opt out of public financing for the Democratic primaries. Because Kerry has lost his early fundraising lead to Dean, he will have to dig into his own personal funds to finance his campaign. This will likely include borrowing against his assets and those he shares with his wife, who now goes by the name "Teresa Heinz Kerry," which include their $10 million house on Boston's fancy Louisberg Square. In addition, Heinz Kerry told Benjamin Weiser and Todd S. Purdum of the New York Times that she'd consider making independent expenditures on his behalf if she felt his opponents were attacking him unfairly. "I think that is a First Amendment right in America for me," she told them. "I have that right. But that's a serious thing to do. It has to be really legitimate."

An independent expenditure campaign, though, would almost certainly violate federal campaign law. "Under the Federal Election Commission's rules, you cannot have access to the candidate's strategies and plans," Trevor Potter, former chairman of the Federal Election Commission and chairman of the nonprofit Campaign Legal Center, explained to Chatterbox. The FEC defines "independent expenditure" as

an expenditure by a person for communication expressly advocating the election or defeat of a clearly identified candidate that is not made in cooperation, consultation, or concert with, or at the request or suggestion of, a candidate, a candidate's authorized committee, or their agents, or a political party committee or its agents.

In Heinz Kerry's case, such an expenditure would be impossible to square with Glen Johnson's observation in the Nov. 21 Boston Globe that Heinz Kerry "displayed an intimate knowledge not only of the inner workings of her husband's campaign, but of the overall 2004 race."

What if Heinz Kerry tore up her prenup and put Kerry's name on all deeds, titles, and bank accounts permitted by the terms of her inheritance? Wouldn't her money then be community property, and therefore Kerry's own personal funds as well? "It's too late," Potter told Chatterbox. The FEC defines "personal funds" as

(1) Any assets which, under applicable state law, at the time he or she became a candidate [italics Chatterbox's], the candidate had legal right of access to or control over, and with respect to which the candidate had either:

(i) Legal and rightful title, or

(ii) An equitable interest.

(2) Salary and other earned income from bona fide employment; dividends and proceeds from the sale of the candidate's stocks or other investments; bequests to the candidate; income from trusts established before candidacy; income from trusts established by bequest after candidacy of which the candidate is the beneficiary; gifts of a personal nature which had been customarily received prior to candidacy [italics Chatterbox's]; proceeds from lotteries and similar legal games of chance.

The only way Heinz Kerry could now give substantial money to Kerry's campaign would be to tear up her pre-nup and kill herself.

This leads us to the inevitable question of whether these circumstances could have been foreseen by Teresa Heinz Kerry—if not when she married John Kerry, then anytime prior to his entry into the 2004 presidential race. Back then, she could have transferred assets for him to tap in his campaign. At the very least, she could have established a pattern of making substantial monetary "gifts of a personal nature" so that she could legally continue this practice after he became a candidate. But she didn't. Even the prenup seems less than entirely necessary when you consider Heinz Kerry's age—she's 65—and the near-certainty that her children's future prosperity is well protected by trust funds set up long before John Heinz's death. While it's probably true that most very rich people prefer to draw up prenups before they marry, not all of them do. Paul McCartney, for instance, reportedly declined his second wife Heather Mills' offer to sign one.

Teresa Heinz Kerry has often been portrayed in the press as a ditz, but in fact she is an extremely bright and accomplished woman. (Has any other candidate's wife been asked to testify before Congress on pension policy?) It simply can't have escaped her notice, when she married John Kerry, that he was going to run for president someday. It was obvious to Morley Safer thirty-two years ago, when he interviewed Kerry, then a prominent activist against the Vietnam war--in which Kerry had served--for 60 Minutes. ("Do you want to be president of the United States?" Safer asked. "No," Kerry replied. "That's such a crazy question when there are so many things to be done and I don't know whether I could do them.") To be sure, Kerry had every expectation, heading into the 2004 race, that he was going to lead the pack in fund-raising, which he did for awhile. But Heinz Kerry has been around politics long enough to know that a presidential candidate can't count on anything. And she had the example of George W. Bush's nomination race in 2000 before her to show that presidential candidates don't always stay within the limits imposed by public financing.

Heinz Kerry must have had some inkling that the day might come when her second husband would need her money. And knowing that, she didn't make it available. That doesn't make her a bad wife. But it does raise a disconcerting question for voters. If Teresa Heinz Kerry won't give John Kerry the keys to the car, why should we?

slate.msn.com



To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (6943)12/3/2003 8:39:52 AM
From: Raymond Duray  Respond to of 10965
 
DEAN RETAKES IOWA LEAD! -- Zogby International... Latest..

zogby.com

Released: December 02, 2003
Dean Regains Slight Iowa Lead in Neck and Neck Race With Gephardt, 26% - 22%; Kerry 3rd in Single Digits in Latest Zogby International Poll

With less than seven weeks remaining until Iowa’s January 19 caucus vote, Former Vermont Governor Dr. Howard Dean has re-taken a slight lead in his quest for the Democratic presidential nomination. In December 1- 2 polling of 500 likely Iowa caucus voters by Zogby International, Dean jumped back ahead of Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt, the earlier Iowa front-runner, 26% - 22%, yet within the poll’s margin of statistical error.

Massachusetts Senator John Kerry was third with 9%, followed by North Carolina Senator John Edwards at 5%. Nearly three in ten (28%) remain undecided, providing some hope for the trailing candidates.

**Lieberman and Clark recently announced that they would not campaign in Iowa
Polling was conducted by Zogby International from its Call Center in Utica, and has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. Error margins are higher in sub-groups.

Dean is the favorite of both Democrats (27%) and Independents (21%)who intend to vote in Iowa’s primary. Gephardt trails him with 23% of Democratic support and 18% of Independents. Union members favor Gephardt nearly 2-1 over Dean, 34% - 18%, while non-union households favor Dean by nearly the same margin, 32% - 15%.

North Carolina Senator John Edwards hung on to fourth place in Iowa at 5%. Retired General Wesley Clark earned 4% while Connecticut Senator Joseph Lieberman fell to 2%, joining Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich. Former Illinois Senator Carol Mosley Braun and civil rights activist Rev. Al Sharpton each received 1% or less. Lieberman and Clark announced earlier that they would not campaign in Iowa, but their names will remain on the January ballot.

Dean leads with self-described progressives (38%) and liberals (30%), while Gephardt is favored by moderates (25%) and conservatives (22%).

Dean has replaced Gephardt with the highest ‘favorable’ status, which Gephardt had enjoyed in three earlier polls in Iowa..

More than half (53%) of the respondents said it is somewhat or very likely that President George W. Bush will be re-elected, regardless of how they vote, while 43% think a Democratic candidate will prevail. In April polling, 61% felt Bush would be re-elected. More than a third (35%) say they like Bush as a person, while half (51%) say they dislike him.

A plurality (45%) think it is important that the Democratic Party nominate a presidential candidate who opposed the war in Iraq, while 31% think their standard bearer should be someone who supported the warm. Nearly one-fourth (24%) is not sure.

More than three-fourths (77%) would support a Democrat who supported the war versus 6% who would support President Bush. More than half (56%) think it is more important to nominate a candidate who stands up for what he or she believes, compared to 37% who would nominate a candidate who could defeat Bush.

The Iowa polling is part of Zogby International’s “Road to Boston” series, following the Democratic presidential hopefuls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and nationally as a run-up to the Democratic nominating convention in Boston in July 2004.

Methodology: zogby.com



To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (6943)12/3/2003 8:59:51 AM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10965
 
Kerry and Dean are both excellent candidates. The issue is electability. Dean just doesn't have it, I'm afraid. You have to admire hm for admitting he was trying to get out of the draft, but on the other hand, that's exactly what won't sell south of New England or west of Pennsylvania. makes Bush look like a jet fighter pilot instead of an AWOL drunk. See what I mean?

I am very worried about Kerry's poll numbers though.
9% in Iowa today down from 15% after the tme he's been putting in there and the TV ads. I may be enthusiastic but I'm not blind.