dudes: (editorial@21stcenturyinvestor.com,customerservice@21stcenturyinvestor.com) where are the future markets since midnite ???? where are they NOW ???
editorial@21stcenturyinvestor.com,customerservice@21stcenturyinvestor.com print out your
forecast and eat every single word NOW
read on ... on ............
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Kerry Concedes Defeat; Bush Wins Second Term
By Dan Balz, Mike Allen and Fred Barbash
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, November 3, 2004; 11:23 AM
After a long night of silence, Sen. John F. Kerry called President Bush today and conceded defeat in the 2004 presidential election.
A source in the campaign said Kerry would have an announcement at about 1 p.m.
----- Original Message -----
From: James DiGeorgia at 21st Century Investor
Sent: Wednesday, October 06, 2004 5:22 PM
Subject: Bush loses election over Iraq -- stocks crash!
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Dear Udi,
President Bush will not be re-elected. And the reason is Iraq!
The fact is, we've lost it! Democracy won't happen there. And we'll soon be talking "exit strategy" as Iraq plunges into civil war!
"You've done it again! The stock you recommended DOUBLED OVERNIGHT"
-- Alan S.
Unfortunately, all this will be crystal clear to voters by election day as more and more bombings, deaths, kidnappings and beheadings fill our daily headlines and TV screens!
My name is James DiGeorgia. I'm not writing from Kerry headquarters. I'm a registered Republican, a conservative, and the publisher of the highly acclaimed 21st Century Investor, which is up 2,786% in total profits since October 2002. I'm writing today to warn you...
The dire situation in Iraq undermines the President's contention that we're making progress, and that freedom and democracy are taking hold there. Unfortunately, the reality in the news daily assails his credibility, which even some of our fellow Republicans are now pointing out to him.
As more and more voters see an "emperor with no clothes," President Bush will drop in the polls, and then the stock market will crash. It's unpleasant, I know, but at least you can make a fast 40% profit by election day, and then another 100% to 200% profits after, provided you act now (see how, just ahead).
Why listen to me? For intelligence you can take to the bank!
I took a lot of heat when I said in November of 2001 that "Bush means business and will invade Iraq" -- 16 months later, he did!
My fellow Republicans were angry with me in May of 2003 when my response to Bush's "mission accomplished" speech was that the "U.S. will be bogged down in a guerrilla war in Iraq for years." Today, we're bogged down in a guerrilla war!
But the most important reason for heeding my advice is 21st Century Investor's 2,786% total profits since October of 2002 (all winners and losers counted)!
Now, I say you can score 40% profit by election day! And 100% to 200% profit afterwards. So, let's get to work. Once I give you the "pre-election intelligence," I'll show you how to score a fast fortune on it!
Chaos and violence will continue in Iraq
With President Bush surging in the polls right after the Republican Convention, and with Kerry seemingly losing ground in many swing states, most of us figured the President would easily coast to re-election. But not so fast...
Before the first debate, Bush had a clear lead. Now the polls show the race tied, or with Kerry slightly ahead. What caused the shift? It wasn't Bush's performance, as the pundits would have you believe. He did just fine. It's that most Americans are uneasy with the President's foreign policy and are taking a second look at Kerry. The proof is in these pre-debate stats...
1.
Fully 57% believe that invading Iraq was a mistake!
2.
Only 45% of voters believe Bush deserves a second term!
3.
55% of voters believe Bush is taking the country in the "wrong direction" and are uneasy about his ability to handle a "foreign crisis."
"I absolutely love your service. It has helped me make nearly 300% since last summer."
--Ron D.
The fact is, most voters want a change, and if it weren't for Kerry's campaign blunders -- and the fact that he's a stuffed shirt -- Bush would be in even bigger trouble today. But soon voters will be willing to overlook Kerry's stuffiness, when they perceive Iraq to be an unwinnable Viet-Nam-like quagmire!
Pre-election al-Qaeda attack likely
My Middle Eastern intelligence sources tell me al-Qaeda is planning an attack against the U.S. shortly before election day, but not here in America. Instead, they'll launch a Tet offensive-style attack in Iraq that overwhelmingly proves we're losing there. And that will be devastating to the President.
President Bush's own CIA intelligence assessment gave him a grim review: under the best case scenario, the violence and chaos in Iraq won't improve any time soon. Under the worst case scenario, the country will plunge into civil war. And this report was given in July, when things weren't nearly as bad as they are today!
"Thank you so much, James. ALL your predictions have come true."
-- Chris E.
When this intelligence report leaked out, the president tried to put a positive spin on it, saying, "The CIA was only guessing." But that was the wrong thing to say to voters who had just learned that two American citizens were beheaded by Iraqi insurgents.
My Washington intelligence sources tell me that today, the argument is no longer between those who predict failure and those who predict success. The argument is between those who predict failure and those who predict catastrophic failure!
How did Iraq go so wrong?
For a few reasons, and it's important that you understand them, before we get to our fortune-making election strategy and investments...again, for 40% profits by election day, and 100% to 200% profits after!
First, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld was determined to fight the war on the cheap with a small number of troops and a lot of high-tech weaponry. He got his way, but do you remember when General Shinseki said we would need up to 300,000 troops to do the job and Rumsfeld scoffed at that? Well, Shinseki was right and Rumsfeld was wrong.
Then, without enough troops to provide security, looters had a field day. Insurgents committed murder and violence with impunity. Water and power and other basic services became difficult to supply. The oil fields and pipelines were continually blown up. Jobs and reconstruction were delayed. And all this continues today, only worse!
"A great call again -- I doubled my money in 16 days."
-- John L.
Second, before the invasion, President Bush put Condi Rice and Doug Feith (from Paul Wolfowitz's office at the Pentagon) in charge of post-war Iraq planning. Wrong people for the job. Colin Powell and State should've done it. You see, Condi and Doug may be big thinkers, but they're lousy administrators. And of course, they didn't know Iraq. The fact is, they botched it. And their man in field, Paul Bremer, failed too, though he now claims he didn't have enough troops to succeed.
The third reason is the unfortunate Abu Ghraib prison-abuse scandal, which caused a dramatic increase in anti-American sentiment. The result is that the percentage of Iraqis who call us "occupiers" rather than "liberators" is 98%. And the percentage of Iraqis who are willing to cooperate with the insurgents to get us out of Iraq is now a majority of the population.
Beheadings will horrify American voters
"I want to express my appreciation for all you and your staff do. You have made me some real money."
-- Hap C.
By any objective assessment, Iraq is a violent and chaotic mess, with unemployment at 60%, essential services far worse than under Saddam, and physical security practically non-existent in most areas.
You may be surprised to learn that the most successful new Iraqi business today is not one building new homes, schools, and hospitals, but one building "concrete barriers" to separate the Americans from the Iraqi people!
Today, Iraqis see Americans as liars, occupiers, and oil-stealers, so it's easy to understand how the insurgency, which started out with only 5,000 fighters and supporters, has grown to a majority of the Iraqi population. And that's why horrifying kidnappings and beheadings will increase in the weeks to come.
Already, voters are asking, "Why do we have to stay in Iraq when we didn't find WMDs? Why should we spend $120 billion per year there, when we have $450 billion deficits at home? And why should our young men and women die there (1,064 as of this writing), when the Iraqis are unwilling to provide for their own defense. Well, there is a reason...
The main reason we went to Iraq
and why Bush won't leave
President Bush can't talk about this in public -- it's too sensitive. But the main reason for invading Iraq was not eliminating WMD, fighting terrorism, or the feel good reason,"freeing the Iraqi people." It was to secure for America the second-largest oil reserves in the world.
No, I'm not expressing a cynical point of view. And I'm not being critical of the President's policies. The fact is,we absolutely must have that oil to preserve and extend our economic and military power!
"I tripled my stock account last year thanks, in large part, to buying a good number of your stocks."
-- David V.
With China, India, and other former developing countries rapidly industrializing, the global demand for oil will accelerate to double today's consumption in just the next 10 years. Meanwhile, no large oil fields have been found since 1976 (Mexico), the North Sea is almost out of oil, and total worldwide oil production is no greater today than it was in 1979!
Less oil in the Middle East than reported
My Middle East sources tell me OPEC has been lying about their reserves. Several oil geologists have suspected this for years and have refuted Iran's, Iraq's, and Saudi Arabia's stated high reserves, claims they say were mere ego-posturing to maintain their dominant OPEC positions.
Now, these same oil experts predict that as early as 2014 we'll see severe world shortages, and by 2029 all the world's current known oil will be used up, including Saudi Arabia's hyped reserves, unless we find more...
Some of our oil executives believe more oil will be found in Iraq. And no question America desperately needs a BIG new source of crude oil. U.S. long-range planners know this. And President Bush knows it.
That's why he made the difficult call to go into Iraq, install a U.S.-friendly government, and ensure U.S. access to Iraq's oil, which is vital to our economy and way of life. Obviously, we weren't going to get any favors from Saddam Hussein (not after bombing him for 10 years), although France, Germany, and China were. And that's why they opposed us at the U.N.
You see, Bush's advisors knew all too well that our "policy of containment," started by Bush 41 and continued by Clinton, was successful. They also knew that Saddam Hussein despised us and would never cooperate with our oil companies once the sanctions were lifted.
Window of opportunity on Iraqi oil was fast closing
Thus, without overthrowing Saddam, we would've been frozen out of the oil contracts, not to mention other business with Iraq. And then there was the problem with the dollar...
"Thanks for all your investment advice. So far, it has made me tons of money."
-- David R.
In November of 2000, Saddam switched the trading of Iraqi oil from the dollar to the Euro. That didn't mean much during the Food-for-Oil Program, but it was going to be huge once the sanctions were lifted. And global pressure was mounting to lift the sanctions.
Trading the world's 2nd largest oil reserves on the Euro would have undercut confidence in the dollar. Remember, we carry a lot of debt. Our economy is highly leveraged. We need to maintain confidence in our currency and financial markets, and we need oil...lots of it. That's why taking down Saddam was a top priority for President Bush from the first days of his administration.
And, after ousting Saddam, the President wisely restored Iraqi oil trading back to the dollar (May '03). And, of course, Halliburton took control of the oil fields to put us first in line for the oil. Unfortunately, it hasn't worked out as planned...
Iraq has 7,000 miles of oil pipelines and 260 oil facilities. We can't possibly protect all of that. And the insurgents have been very successful at bombing them. Today, in spite of our state-of the art technology and best restoration efforts, Iraq is pumping 150,000 barrels per day less than it pumped under Saddam, at a loss of $2 billion per year. That's hurt Iraq's economy, and our image, and it's even contributed to crude topping $50 a barrel!
Now, stick with me. In another moment, I'll show you how to make a fast 40% profit before election day, and another 100% to 200% profit immediately after!
To fight the insurgents...or not to fight!
Earlier this year, President Bush ordered a low-profile for our troops, in order to avoid U.S. casualties in the run up to the election. Probably a mistake. That just let Moqtada al-Sadr and his fighters walk away with their arms intact, and also allowed the Fallujah insurgents to grow bigger and stronger. Also, our attempt to get the Iraqis to do the fighting have failed, just as it did in Viet Nam.
Attacks on Americans and Iraqi collaborators now run to the hundreds every day. But our military has only cautiously engaged the enemy, knocking out 125 insurgents in Samarra while mostly avoiding Fallujah. Unfortunately, like some hydra-headed monster, another 500 insurgents pop up for every 100 we kill. And that's because most Iraqis are against us!
The Iraqis despise the U.S.-backed Allawi government in Iraq, and they hate us. So, in the weeks leading up to our presidential election, terror, violence, death, and destruction will only worsen in Iraq. And that means an increasing number of voters will see Kerry as a way out, or at least as a faster way out! And here's another problem for the president, which is the subject of the next debate...
President Bush vulnerable on the economy
KEY POINT: This year, only 8% of the voting public is undecided. And when the majority thinks the country is on the wrong course, this undecided group historically breaks to the challenger, provided the challenger is a reasonable alternative. And Kerry, for all his negatives, passes that test. That means 7 of 10 of these votes will go to Kerry.
KEY POINT: While investors believe the economy is rapidly improving, that corporate profits are good, and Bush's economic policies are creating thousands of new jobs, the average Joe believes his job is at risk of being shipped overseas, that his pay and benefits are being reduced to increase corporate profits, while his costs of living are skyrocketing. That means the Reagan Democrats will vote for Kerry.
KEY POINT: Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania and West Virginia are must-win swing states with 64 electoral votes. And all of them are still in recession, today, 2.5 years after the U.S. recession officially ended. By November 2nd they'll go for Kerry, who says he'll penalize companies that outsource jobs and reward those who hire American workers.
Another interesting point about Michigan -- they have a large Muslim population there, who in 2000 overwhelmingly supported Bush. Not this year. They're voting for Kerry, believing he'll do more to protect their civil rights.
Real wages are down this year
KEY POINT: Labor Dept. stats show that the new jobs added in the last 3 years are paying, on average, 30% less than the old ones lost, and with reduced benefits. In fact, there's a $280 billion gap between what workers have today and what they had at this point in the previous six economic recoveries. And take-home pay, as a percentage of the economy, is at its lowest level since 1929.
None of this is good news for the President. And even if you figure that most Americans don't know about these stats (and they don't), they do know what's happening in their lives, and they're feeling the pinch!
BOTTOM LINE: Swing states that are struggling economically...that have seen good-paying jobs replaced with low-paying ones...and whose workers either can't find a job or can't make ends meet...will go to Kerry!
Okay...I'm going to go out on a limb to make a prediction on the vote: Kerry 51%, Bush 46%, and Nader 2% (1% for others).
Act now for 40% gain on the October crash!
But regardless of how accurate I am on the count, you must prepare now -- first for the imminent stock market crash, and then the likely Kerry Administration. Fortunately, there's some BIG MONEY in it for you...
"I have subscribed to more investment publications than I can count and have made more money with yours than all the others combined."
-- Cheryl R.
Remember, if Kerry wins and the Democrats carry at least one house, we'll almost certainly see a tax increase on incomes over $200,000 per year. We'll also see a tax penalty on companies that outsource jobs. And that's why the stock market will plunge on the likelihood of a Kerry victory. Here's how we'll play it for the biggest profit...
Any day now, our editors will give the word to short the market with 2:1 leverage. We'll likely use the Rydex bear funds, which are widely available and deliver double the percentage profits on any downmove.
Then, when the market plunges 20% in October on an imminent Bush defeat-- or God forbid, a major terrorist attack -- we'll rack up a fast 40% profit. Note: if you don't feel comfortable profiting from these events, just move to cash now to protect your capital for our post-election recommendations, which we expect will return 100% to 200% profit!
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I started 21st Century Investor 8 years ago, when I realized investors were frustrated with the quality and reliability of the investment research available from traditional sources. I also wanted to give investors advance intelligence on economic, political and geo-political events, which can dramatically affect the markets, various sectors, and specific investments.
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Sincerely,
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Publisher
21st Century Investor
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