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Politics : World Affairs Discussion -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: tsigprofit who wrote (2897)	12/6/2003 9:43:21 AM
From: ChinuSFO	Respond to of 3959

tsig, first off we would not see it in 2004 since it is the election year. We may see it in 2005 if Bush wins and we have successfully stabilized Iraq with their self rule and brought a significant number of troops home. But it is very hard to predict the level of stability in Iraq in the face of a phased withdrawl by US troops beginning in May 2004. My sense is that the trouble makers in Iraq would see the troop withdrawl as an opportunity to bring themselves back to power. So I would say stay tuned. Sat 6 Dec 2003 Rise in Iraqi guerrilla attacks predicted JEFFREY SCHAEFFER IN BAGHDAD IRAQI guerrillas will step up attacks in the next few months in an attempt to thwart a transfer of sovereignty from the occupation authority to a new Iraqi government, the top US administrator in Iraq said yesterday But Paul Bremer said US forces were getting better intelligence in the fight against insurgents who stage attacks daily. Hours before he spoke, a roadside bomb hit a US military convoy in Baghdad, killing one soldier, the military said. Two Iraqi civilians also died and 13 were injured, hospital workers said. "In the immediate phase ahead of us between now and the end of June we will actually see an increase in attacks, because the people who are against us now realise that there’s huge momentum behind both the economic and political reconstruction of this country," Mr Bremer said. Under an agreement between the US-led coalition and Iraq’s Governing Council last month, caucuses will be held across Iraq to elect delegates who will convene by the end of May. One month later, the delegates are to elect a transitional government with full sovereign powers, formally ending the US-led occupation. "The dead-enders can see that all this, plus the fact that the Iraqi people will get their sovereignty back, spells trouble for them," Mr Bremer said. "So I think we will see a phase now when we will actually see increased attacks." Mr Bremer said the US-led coalition and Iraqi leaders were making progress in negotiations on a transfer of power. Some prominent Shiite Muslim leaders had opposed the plan for delegates to elect a transitional government, calling for early, direct elections. "Everybody wants to implement the November 15 agreement now," Mr Bremer said. "We are prepared to work out some clarifications about the best way to do that." "As one gets into this a bit, I think that people realise that holding full-scale elections at this point is really not a good option - it would not lead to a feeling of legitimacy in the process," he said. thescotsman.co.uk

To: tsigprofit who wrote (2897)	12/7/2003 12:14:09 AM
From: Raymond Duray	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3959

tsigprofit, Re: It would be a lot easier than Iran, but then Syria may have chemical weapons, who knows? Do you fall for all the bullsh!t the Bushies try to sell you? There is no credible basis upon which to claim that Syria has chemical weapons that threaten the U.S. public. All that you are basing this irrational fear on is the propaganda you've absorbed from some extremely sick people like John Bolton, Douglas Feith, Paul Wolfowitz, William Kristol and a number of other discredited Zionist neo-cons. These whacked out imperialists do have reasons to be concerned that should they attack Syria, that Syria may not simply fall apart before some counteract is mounted against the ultimate evil instigator of this whole malevolent and insane game, i.e. the Sharon government in Israel. Re: who knows what Bush will do next? Bush will do whatever Sharon tells him to do. Re: Problem is - I don't think it would be easy to do at current US troops levels... The U.S. flew 450,000 sorties over Iraq bombing the crap out of that country from the end of hostilities in 1991 until the hot war starting March 19, 2003. Bush can and will be planning a bombing campaign first against Syria. Troop levels don't matter a whit in this cold-blooded calculation. High altitude murder is easy to sell to a gullible American public. They don't have any concept what life is like on the ground underneath the jackboots of U.S. war plane pilots.