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Strategies & Market Trends : Natural Resource Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: yard_man who wrote (4435)12/5/2003 4:47:30 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 108660
 
exactly, almost every single US security
whether stock equity share or debt instrument
is founded upon debt
the entire US Economy is an enormous debt structure
which will experience a massive debt writedown
it started with the euro appreciation

clown economists and pundits fail to realize that relative to the European Union, the entire US economy's wealth barely kept pace on valuations with the EURO currency
maybe Naz rose more, but that will be remedied quickly

in the current dangerous phase#2, the entire US Economy's wealth will actually drop nominally, and in addition, decline sharply against the ASIAN currencies, led by the JYEN and CYUAN

that is precisely how and why longterm interest rates will rise
Asians will be sellers of TBonds generally
GOLD WILL BENEFIT FROM THE FLIGHT OUT OF BONDS
especially when corporate profits flatten
and stocks look less attractive
(from earnings, from higher rates, from Fed model valuation

dont forget that the entire US Corporate debt structure has set itself up for a severe whacking from interest swaps
they have swapped contractually their longterm rate obligations for high-grade (Genl Electric-like) lower shorterm rates
as ST rates climb next year, they will get whacked

gonna be wild & woolly
/ jim