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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Orcastraiter who wrote (505907)12/8/2003 12:16:19 PM
From: Hope Praytochange  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769667
 
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean holds a 25-point lead over Sen. John Kerry in New Hampshire seven weeks before the state's Democratic presidential primary, according to a poll released Monday.

Dean was at 39 percent and Kerry at 14 percent in the poll by Franklin Pierce College. In May, Dean and Kerry had been tied at 23 percent in the poll.

Almost one in four likely primary voters, 27 percent, were undecided. All other candidates were in single digits, including Wesley Clark and Sen. John Edwards at 5 percent each. Sen. Joe Lieberman was at 4 percent and Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri at 3 percent. At 1 percent each were Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich, Al Sharpton and Carol Moseley Braun.

In the Franklin Pierce poll, Dean had the support of 43 percent of independents while Kerry had the backing of 8 percent. Two-thirds in the poll, including more than half of Kerry's supporters, said they expect Dean will win the primary.

The poll of 600 likely primary voters was taken Dec. 1-4 and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.



To: Orcastraiter who wrote (505907)12/8/2003 12:21:12 PM
From: JakeStraw  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769667
 
That just proved Kerry's lack of good judgement...



To: Orcastraiter who wrote (505907)12/8/2003 12:31:31 PM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 769667
 
If Kerry is defeated, it will have been because Bush failed so dismally in executing the Iraq War. The modicum of trust Kerry put in Bush, despite Kerry's accurate warnings and conditions, may have cost him enough of the liberal base to deny him part of the foundation he needed. The rest of it was the press reporting bad news, Dean's surprising fundraising, the GP attacking Kerry at the same time and it all becoming a self-fulfilling prophesy.

Most Dems are still undecided and when they read that a candidate is struggling, they are less likely to support him. They don't care so much why. Also, Dean has been decidedly strong in capturing many of his neighbors hearts in New Hampshire. He is their true favorite son, not Kerry is more urban Boston. Since Kerry was counting on a NH kick-off, that was damaging. All the rest of it is just BS.

Still, don't count Kerry out yet. Anything can still happen.