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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: I_C_Deadpeople who wrote (3120)12/10/2003 12:43:28 PM
From: yard_man  Respond to of 110194
 
didn't ask me -- but how bout just below 400 before taking off again ... gold bugs having it too easy lately??



To: I_C_Deadpeople who wrote (3120)12/10/2003 1:23:41 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
I see gold heading to 420-430 in the next few weeks
instead of a big correction in gold and gold shares,
I expect to see numerous speed bumps which continue to fool people

guys like Tippett are well intentioned, but seem to base their forward views on past performance
since late summer, every single attack on gold has been pathetic, weak, and lacked force
but such signals have been overlooked even among the gold crowd
which is utterly humorous to me
their pervasive doubt of their own success SPEAKS VOLUMES

few seem to factor in the new Chinese demand
their Shanghai Exchange is in full operation now
Americans do not understand China at all, not one bit, nothing
they never have, they never will
we dismiss their effects pervasively, in full ignorance
in fact, I expect the next international racism to involve US & China
we widely insist on viewing them as grubby little workers with no lives, no minds, no souls, no humanity, no behavior like ours
by January 2005, huge political friction will be developing
CHINA in 2004 will be the greatest force behind GOLD

between 2004 and 2010 a grand transition from US to China will take place
China will gradually assume the dominant geopolitical role
THE CATBIRD SEAT
that seat will be built upon GOLD
in its banking system and currency

this is minor Elliott Wave 3 within major Elliott Wave III
the small giant step within the big giant step

I sincerely doubt that charts and typical technical analysis will help in any shorterm reads or calls
we have the EW3 unique alignment phenomenon working for us
(or at least for true believers, doubters aside)
the fundamentals look spectacular
the financial market underpinnings look spectacular
the horizon contains imminent price inflation from several sources
a breakout is in progress, but fortunately, it lacks extreme force

we have ideal conditions for a steady creepup march to 420-430
which will fool even the experts
I love this stuff

GOLD WILL NOT CORRECT UNTIL IT MAKES A FAST SUDDEN LARGE MOVE
which I expect will be from 418 to 431 over a 3-day period
like climaxing around January 14-16
then and only then, a pullback to 410-413

gold is in no way overbought
some stocks are
but pricing formulas for them has become nettlesome
they will soon behave like the dotcoms
except they will have fundamental background support

in my Feb 2002 article "Gold Volcano"
321gold.com
I pointed out that a great many roads lead to GOLD
during these unique 1970-like conditions, stocks & bonds will falter
but the key is that bonds will falter, as rates rise in the face of nascent price inflation
the rising systemic price inflation will shock the entire nation and its markets next year
and confuse it immensely, since pockets of price deflation will continue to persist
the attack on profit margins will be the massive curve ball
the punctuation point will be declining household budgets

next year will mark the advent of public discovery of A BIFURCATED ECONOMIC DISTORTION

PIMCO's McCulley will not be surprised, even expects it
his words are hardly heeded

many trillion dollar capital pools will find gold
the sector simply cannot handle it without price explosions
its total market capitalization is still under $100 billion
the govt and cartel powers that be will be unable to harness it
IMAGINE FIVE STRONG MEN HOLDING BACK A BIG HORSE
IN THE LAST TWO MONTHS, ANOTHER HORSE HAS ARRIVED EACH MONTH
THE POWERS CANNOT RESTRAIN THE NATURAL FORCES
AND THE GOLD SECTOR IS FAR TOO SMALL
that is precisely why I chose to invest in it in spring 2002

/ jim
p.s. who are the fools sending good money into 3mo TBills at 0.9% ???