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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (3262)12/11/2003 9:50:50 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 110194
 
<<foreigners hold 50% of all US treasuries now>>

... If so, then the end is closer than I thought, although my post rests on total debt outstanding in the economy.

Chugsm Jay



To: mishedlo who wrote (3262)12/11/2003 11:34:05 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Respond to of 110194
 
i think it is more like 43% of all tradeable Treasurys.



To: mishedlo who wrote (3262)12/11/2003 11:35:59 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Dollar Doldrums
Where have all the European investors gone?
slate.msn.com



To: mishedlo who wrote (3262)12/12/2003 7:33:36 AM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
<Perhaps Russ has the correct numbers..

I have the correct numbers (and breakdown by country) for "marketable" treasuries at the end of 3Q. This comes from Contrary Investor's 11-18 write-up. As we know foreign CBs have been quite busy this quarter, so 45% may be in the works. Foreigners had 17.5% of corporates, and 13% of agencies at end of 2Q, but that was eons ago at the current parabolic pace.
Message 19587395

"As of the end of September, the foreign community held an unprecedented 41% of total marketable US Treasury securities. As we said earlier, how is the current environment any different in terms of macro financial and economic imbalances than what has already been experienced over the last five to ten years? The only characterization we can come up with is that it's worse."


SIGNIFICANT FOREIGN HOLDERS OF US TREASURIES
Country Amount Held ($billions) MO/MO Change ($billions) Holdings As % Of Total Marketable Treasury Securities

Japan $470.9 $19.6 13.6
UK 139.0 (12.0) 4.0
China 122.1 (1.8) 3.5
Germany 53.2 (0.6) 1.5
Hong Kong 51.7 (1.2) 1.5
Korea 46.6 2.2 1.3
Taiwan 40.0 1.6 1.2
OPEC 33.1 (0.3) 1.0
Belg-Luxem. 27.2 (0.6) 0.8
Switzerland 24.6 0.9 0.7
Mexico 24.4 (1.0) 0.7
Canada 20.9 0.4 0.6
Singapore 20.1 (1.0) 0.6
Thailand 13.2 0.2 0.4
Spain 11.8 (3.0) 0.3
France 8.8 0.8 0.3
Others 188.2 (4.2) 5.4
TOTAL 1,420 (3.0) 41.0%