Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Gold/Mining/Energy : Precious and Base Metal Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Elizabeth Andrews who wrote (25507)	12/13/2003 2:44:12 PM
From: E. Charters	Respond to of 39344

All Kondratieff said was that cycle recombination like reverse fourier served to predict economic cycles.. He took about 30 factors and combined them. What he observed is that the wave corresponded to economic levels of boom and bust that were on record. He published about 1870, but his books were banned by the Soviets who felt they could smooth out economic cycles by edict. Kondratieff cycles have been ratified by modern economists who have various linear and non linear ways of extending them. Timing is not too bad. Since 1972 there were several predictions of singularities that did not show in any other indicators. This proves that conventional TA is impoverished with respect to seeing dislocations that stem from hidden cycle complexity effects. EC<:-}