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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Herm who wrote (14135)	1/25/2004 4:10:53 PM
From: Herm	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 14162

======================== HOLLYWOOD VIDEO (HLYW) ======================= Here is a stock readers might want to check out. The P/E for this stock is super low. The company has a stock re-purchase plan in place and I would not be surprised if that cash flow is used to pump up the HLYW stock. The technical charts look good for a bottom-fishing stock. HLYW shows signs of a start of a technical bounce off the 52-week low of $11.50. Subscriber will note that I have played HLYW several times over the past three years and made good profits everytime buying the ATM or OTM options for quick in and out profits. Recently, I was in $12.25 and out of HLYW when it was $14.00 late December 2003. I made about $750 on 25 ITM options. I placed my limit buy for the April04 12.5s (HWQDV). The target price for HLYW is $12.50 to $12.75 which would put the Apr04 12.5s value at $1.05 range. Stocks will bounce off 52-week lows and sometimes move up before re-testing their lows one last time I'm hoping that will occur in the next week or so. Dominick fired off this email question. "I'm a new subscriber. I have a question. Why are you're buying HLYW April 12.5 call for $0.75 instead of a March 10 for $2.05 at this moment?" Good question Dominick! I would not argue that the HLYW March 10s would not pay off sooner than the April 12.5s, but, I felt it would be more conservative to have the extra month to increase the probability of a payoff. In my case, I purchased 50 contracts which gives me more leverage. In summary, I rather make less with more total options contracts to increase the dollar amount payoff. Finally, there was more open interest at the April 12.50s strike price and NONE at the MAR04 10s. Not a situation you want to be in. The HLYW play is speculation and everyone should gauge the risk vs. rewards. HLYW has a book value around $4.40 which is higher than the current $3.80 P/E and .58 PEG. The current price is dirt cheap. The technical chart readings of less than -30 STO and 30 RSI makes this prime for a no-brainer short term rebound. coveredcallswins.com[w,a]daclyyay[dc][pd20,2!f][vc60][iut!Ub14!Lp15,5,5]&pref=G PS - I believe the next earnings release is on Jan. 28, 2004.