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To: Sig who wrote (11974)12/18/2003 4:53:43 AM
From: Sig  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13815
 
Assuming a steady recent pace of Dow, would reach 12,500 in Dec. 2004
Assuming recent pace of Nas, would reach 2250 in April 2004
Assuming the historic 3.5 year cycle in the Dow , would reach next high in first half of 2004.
But a steady pace up is unusual, and elections will heat up in the last half of 2004.
Demand for tech products is heating up, but this time capacity should be generally adequate.
Housing and financing markets are still hot.Japan doing better now. Auto sales steady.
Conclusion:
Could expect a peak in the markets in first half of 2004. Unknown volatility- Could find WMD's, could have another terrorist strike or problem with N Korea.
Sig



To: Sig who wrote (11974)12/18/2003 9:11:44 AM
From: im a survivor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13815
 
I wish I agreed with your optimistic outlook. We didnt get squat when SH was captured...MANY individual stocks are taking a beating while averages are not....economy not coming back as strong as we expected....dems are going to try to keep markets down....companies will not blow away earnings, and blow away earnings are already priced in.....and yes, I think we can expect more terror attacks...especially now that SH has been captured......