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Gold/Mining/Energy : Precious and Base Metal Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TrueScouse who wrote (25680)12/17/2003 10:40:39 PM
From: Louis V. Lambrecht  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 39344
 
Howy, not sure either of a PoG correction.
Am watching the open interest, and this one is flat for weeks around 275-280K contracts. With almost 200k on the Feb futures.
First notice (of delivery) beeing end of Jan, the shorts have almost 6 weeks to rollover or be assigned to deliver.
Has been the case for the Dec futes, and I doubt this mass of contracts will be rolled for paper once again. As it takes or two weeks, this puts me towards mid-Jan for a shorts squeeze as apparently the longs are in strong hands.
So, four weeks to manage a knee-jerk correction from these levels. Not saying it won't happen, but with the holidays shortened weeks in between, a bit short of time.

Was expecting a correction to load the boat before X-Mas, well ... misses that one also. <g>

Maybe the commercial shorts have hedged with being long the Euro <ggg> and they could be safe already. In that case, no shorts squeeze.

Disturbing is that the 10-Yr T notes are bullsih (yields bearish): this does not fits in a Dollar tanking/gold rising scenario.
stockcharts.com[w,a]daclyyay[pb50!b100!b200!d20,2][vc60][iut!Ll14!Lo14!Ld20]&pref=G