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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (514998)	12/23/2003 2:52:22 PM
From: Bill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

How did you come to that conclusion? Do you have an economic model which tracks the variables and forecasts the next quarter? Or are you just hoping?

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (514998)	12/23/2003 2:56:10 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 769670

Economists survey says 4.1% growth but they are overly optomistic.

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (514998)	12/30/2003 7:02:18 AM
From: Hope Praytochange	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

> > Adding Up the Next Thousand Dow Points > > > > By James J. Cramer > > 12/29/2003 09:00 AM EST > > Click here for more stories by James J. Cramer > > > > > > Market Commentary BULLISH > > The Dow could reach 11,300 next year. > > I get there by looking at the market from the bottom > > up. > > > > If the Federal Reserve is telling the truth, if it > > sits on the sidelines or raises rates moderately, I > > think we will have, conservatively, a 1,000-point > > increase in the Dow in 2004. It might happen before > > the end of 2004; in fact, I think the high point of > > 2004 probably will come in October, when it becomes > > obvious that Bush is going to win in a landslide. But > > I think we'll get those points without a problem. > > > > I don't get that idea by sticking my finger in the > > air. I get there by looking at the market from the > > bottom up, looking at the individual stocks. Like the > > last time I did this, when the market was appreciably > > lower, I was able to predict that Dow 10,000 was in > > the cards by year-end. Similarly, I feel that 11,300 > > is in the cards by October 2004 and that we actually > > could rally even higher if the Fed takes rates up only > > 150 basis points in 2004. I say "only" because I don't > > trust the Fed.