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To: Henry Niman who wrote (176276)	12/27/2003 9:33:46 PM
From: Amy J	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 186894

If it is picking up where it left off last spring, then something in its epi trend appears significantly different than the spanish flu which had a horrible second year starting as early as Oct. Sars is more delayed and a lot smaller at the start of its second year than the Spanish flu was, so would tend to believe that implies Sars is less contagious throughout the entire population, superspreaders aside. I tend to believe it is picking up where it left off, but just isn't as contagious as the Spanish flu (superspreaders aside). The coincidence of it being able to start over, in a consecutive year, seems too high. It took how many centuries for this to be created in the first place, let alone twice. Unless there is some type of prexisting environment that now exists today, that didn't two years ago, that makes it conducive for restarts. Which do you think it is? Regards, Amy J