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To: goldworldnet who wrote (160)1/2/2004 9:47:22 AM
From: Neocon  Respond to of 6227
 
The only major political figure who contemplated the possibility was Ronald Reagan, though others realized that once Gorbachev began to pursue perestroika, and especially glasnost in earnest, there would be no real turning back. Even a totalitarian regime depends upon most people acquiescing, through a combination of propaganda, terror, and the simple desire to avoid chaos. Once the regime relaxes the use of terror and makes admissions that delegitimate Communist rule, all it has left is the hesitancy to fall into chaos. Nevertheless, the populace will begin to put serious pressure on the regime to accelerate the pace of reform. If the situation becomes hopeless, people will take considerable risks, through mass demonstrations or even, as in Romania, civil rebellion, to break the deadlock and permit things to move forward.

Reagan was responsible for Gorbachev: the prospect of renewed strategic competition due to SDI, and its potential impact on the USSR's economy, mandated some kind of economic reform; the fear of restiveness among the populace, which was increasingly dissatisfied with the civilian economy, and the need to make the regime more "friendly", mandated glasnost; and the failure of the anti- missile movement Europe, and the success of Reagan in leading the Free World, mandated a major, credible, peace initiative, to get the West to "chill". Moscow put up a genuine reformer and his pals, otherwise we would not buy it, and kept him long past a point of disenchantment because the Reagan liked him, and would deal with him. When the political crisis came, fortunately Yeltsin had risen to a meaningful position to rally the people to save the Duma..........