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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (4275)1/2/2004 1:45:32 AM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 110194
 
I still maintain that this 3-yr TNX chart indicates higher longterm interest rates
this is a clear upward biased Head & Shoulders bull pattern
it indicates LT rates are heading to 5.5% in the next several months
the right shoulder is about complete
time for the jump very soon, like weeks
enough of this secular price deflation bullshit
it will be interrupted by a spate of 2-3 years of price inflation
the Fed cannot get away with such rampant monetary largesse
that should kill bonds, kill the US$, kill housing, kill consumerism, and lift gold


It is interesting that you are bearish on longer term rates but not nearly so on shorter term ones.
That is exactly the opposite of Forbes.
IMO there is little chance he is right and a far better chance that you are.

Mish



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (4275)1/2/2004 10:15:41 AM
From: Crimson Ghost  Respond to of 110194
 
if the Fed is smart they will hike short rates soon. The longer they wait the more they will have to hike IMHO.