SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : ASML Holding NV -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SemiBull who wrote (888)1/9/2004 11:21:36 AM
From: Proud_Infidel  Respond to of 43426
 
ASML set to post small net profit as shares rally
Friday January 9, 11:14 am ET
By Lucas van Grinsven, European Technology Correspondent

AMSTERDAM, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Dutch chip equipment maker ASML (Amsterdam:ASML.AS - News; NasdaqNM:ASML - News) is set to publish a tiny fourth-quarter profit on Thursday, but its shares have more than trebled since March ahead of an anticipated sector recovery.

Chief Executive Doug Dunn joked at an investors conference in November that investors who still wanted to buy ASML shares to benefit from the chip upturn were late by about six months.

ASML shares have since climbed a few more euros to a 19-month high of 17.79 euros in Friday afternoon trading. Last March, they cost as little as 5.39 euros.

Analysts warn that shares in the world's largest maker of lithography machines, which map out electronic circuits on silicon wafers, have now priced in most of the anticipated recovery -- not just 2004, but a continuation in 2005 as well.

"The valuation is stretched," said analyst Jan-Willem Berghuis at broker Kempen & Co in a note to investors. He rates the shares "neutral".

Most analysts, from large investment banks to local brokers, estimate that ASML will see earnings per share a little short of one euro in the next expected peak profit year of 2005. With price/earnings multiples of around 15, most calculate the intrinsic value of the shares at between 13 and 15 euros.

Others, however, say that the shares could continue to trade higher than that, pointing to past price movements.

Even excluding the irrational exuberance of the tech bubble of 2000, ASML shares have traded up to five times forward sales. Even at a relatively modest three times forward sales, this would warrant a target of 19 euros, said Morgan Stanley.

The bank rates the shares "overweight".

MODEST Q4 PROFIT

In the fourth quarter, ASML's recovery from a three-year sector downturn will at last start to become visible.

A Reuters poll of 13 analysts showed average net profit is expected to come in at 1.72 million euros ($2.20 million), versus a 50-million-euro loss in the year-ago period, which included an estimated 43-million-euro loss for operations that have since been closed.

Sales are seen at 470.7 million euros, according to 16 analysts, compared with 819.6 million euros a year earlier.

Those revenues will be generated by expected sales of some 45 lithography machines, the heart of semiconductor manufacturing. Each machine sells for over 10 million euros, or the price of a well-equipped business jet. Investors also expect more details on ASML's cost cutting. Two restructurings announced in late 2002 and mid-2003 should make the firm profitable if it sells as few as 33 new machines per quarter.

The company is seen to be well funded and demand for new equipment is accelerating. The factories of ASML's main chip making customers are close to running at full capacity, and despite their caution for the last three years, many firms such as Taiwan's TSMC (Taiwan:2330.TW - News) and UMC (Taiwan:2303.TW - News) have given upbeat comments about investment.

In the fourth quarter alone, analysts expect orders to have come in for 55 to 60 new machines, bringing the total backlog to 105 to 110, at least 15 more than three months earlier. By 2005, the company could sell over 300 machines.

ASML, which competes with Japan's Nikon Corp (Tokyo:7731.T - News) and Canon Inc (Tokyo:7751.T - News), could even see its global market share rise from the current 50 percent because of its advanced products.

"We feel that ASML is the current technology leader in lithography. ASML's current technology will help the company increase its market share to 57 percent in 2008," Rabo Securities said in a note.

It rates the shares "outperform" with an 18 euro target.



To: SemiBull who wrote (888)1/13/2004 10:35:28 AM
From: Proud_Infidel  Respond to of 43426
 
ASML expected to report 60 litho machines ordered in Q4
By Peter Clarke
Silicon Strategies
01/13/2004, 9:17 AM ET

LONDON -- According to a Brussels-based brokerage house lithography equipment maker ASML Holding NV should announce a net profit of 13.6 million euros (about US$17.3 million) on sales of 511 million euro (about US$650 million) when the lithography equipment maker reports its fourth quarter 2003 financial results on Thursday (January 15, 2004).

The Petercam brokerage is slightly more bullish on ASML's behalf than an analysts' consensus that it reports as being a net profit of 5 million euros (about US$6.4 million) on sales revenues of 470 million euros (about US$600 million) in the fourth quarter of 2003.

However, Petercam believes the key figures to watch for are: the average selling price of new litho equipment and net new orders in the quarter -- rather than machines shipped in the quarter which it estimates at 52.

Petercam is looking at a Q4-03 order intake of 61 tools including 50 new tools compared with analysts' consensus expectations of 58.

At the expected levels of quarterly shipments and new orders, the backlog at the end of December 2003 should to have increased from 91 to 100 tools, including refurbished machines, compared to a figure 102 expected by the market.

Petercam also expects the company to confirm that it expects order momentum to keep up its pace. Indeed this needs to happen if ASML is to meet expectations of 197 machines shipped in 2004.



To: SemiBull who wrote (888)1/15/2004 8:43:52 AM
From: Proud_Infidel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 43426
 
ASML Announces 2003 Fourth Quarter and Annual Results
Thursday January 15, 8:03 am ET
Seize the Upturn

VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Jan. 15, 2004--ASML Holding NV (ASML) today announced 2003 fourth quarter and annual financial results as follows:
-0-

-- Order backlog of 124 lithography systems - 103 new and 21
refurbished systems - valued at EUR 993 million as of
December 31, 2003.
Q3 2003: 91 systems / EUR 859 million value
Q4 2002: 110 systems / EUR 1,089 million value

-- Net profit in Q4 2003 of EUR 16 million, resulting in an
annual 2003 net loss of EUR 160 million.
Q3 2003: Net loss of EUR 31 million
Q4 2002: Net loss of EUR 50 million
2002: Net loss of EUR 208 million

-- Net cash provided in Q4 2003 from operating and investing
activities of EUR 245 million. This brings 2003 net cash
provided from operating and investing activities to a
total of EUR 484 million
Q3 2003: Net cash used of EUR 14 million
Q4 2002: Net cash provided of EUR 293 million
2002: Net cash used of EUR 134 million

-- Total sales in Q4 2003 of EUR 526 million, including sales
of 61 lithography systems - 43 new and 18 refurbished
systems - and services. In 2003, total net sales were EUR
1,543 million, including sales of 169 lithography systems
and services.
Q3 2003: 34 systems and services at EUR 370 million value
Q4 2002: 91 systems and services at EUR 820 million value
2002: 205 systems and services at EUR 1,959 million value

"ASML excelled in many areas despite showing a net loss for the year. In technology leadership, ASML introduced and sold the industry's first-ever immersion lithography system, shipped the first full-field 157 nm tool and secured its top spot in the industry by delivering the most leading-edge systems. From a cash management perspective, we repaid a US$ 520 million convertible bond, generated EUR 484 million from operating and investing activities and ended the year with over EUR 1 billion in cash," said Doug Dunn, president and CEO, ASML.

"The upturn has arrived with 2004. But it's just sunrise. We can see light across the industry's rising capital expenditures and in our own backlog," Dunn concluded.

Financial Position

In Q4 2003, ASML generated a net profit of EUR 16 million or EUR 0.03 per ordinary share. In Q3 2003 and Q4 2002, respectively, ASML generated net losses of EUR 31 million or EUR 0.06 per ordinary share and EUR 50 million or EUR 0.10 per ordinary share.

As announced in July 2003, ASML is in the process of reducing its workforce by 11 percent. ASML and its works council are nearing the completion of a joint study on implementing these workforce reductions in the Netherlands. However, the Dutch workforce reduction has been delayed and, correspondingly, the results of cost reductions have been delayed. Cost cutting measures in other locations, including the ASML facility in Wilton, Connecticut, are proceeding on schedule and producing results.

Operations Update

Total net sales from Lithography in Q4 2003 were EUR 526 million as compared with total net sales in Q3 2003 of EUR 370 million and Q4 2002 of EUR 820 million. Annual 2003 total net sales from Lithography were EUR 1,543 million, including sales of 126 new and 43 refurbished systems and service revenue. This compares with annual 2002 total net sales from Lithography of EUR 1,959 million, including sales of 183 new and 22 refurbished systems and service revenue. In Q4 2003, lithography service revenue, including options, was EUR 75 million. This compares with lithography service revenues in Q3 2003 of EUR 57 million and Q4 2002 of EUR 80 million. Annual 2003 lithography service revenue, including options, totaled EUR 264 million compared with annual 2002 lithography service revenue, including options, of EUR 308 million.

The Q4 2003 average selling price for a new ASML system was EUR 9.5 million, compared with EUR 10.8 million in Q3 2003 and EUR 9.6 million in Q4 2002. The 2003 annual average selling price was also EUR 9.5 million as compared with a 2002 annual average selling price of EUR 8.9 million. The average selling price varies based on different factors, including the mix of products sold during a quarter. The order backlog is comprised of 124 lithography systems with approximately 80 percent expected to ship in the next six months. During the fourth quarter, ASML improved its sequential gross margin to 29 percent, compared with gross margins of 25 percent in Q3 2003 and 17 percent in Q4 2002. The 2003 and 2002 annual gross margin was 24 percent.

Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) totaled EUR 46 million in Q4 2003. This compares with SG&A expenses of EUR 50 million in Q3 2003 and EUR 61 million in Q4 2002. In 2003, annual SG&A expenses total EUR 213 million compared with annual 2002 SG&A expenses of EUR 263 million. The year-on-year reduction of approximately EUR 50 million is the result of cost-cutting measures instituted by the company in December 2002 and decreased legal fees associated with patent infringement lawsuits. In 2004, ASML expects SG&A expenses to range between EUR 50 - 55 million per quarter.

Research and development (R&D) expenditures for Q4 2003 were EUR 76 million net of credits. R&D expenditures in Q3 2003 and Q4 2002 were EUR 62 million net of credit and EUR 84 million net of credit respectively. Full year 2003 costs were EUR 287 million net of credits, compared with full year 2002 costs of 298 million. In 2004, ASML anticipates R&D costs to range between EUR 65-70 million per quarter.

CEO To Retire

In addition, ASML announced that Doug Dunn, president and CEO, has advised the Supervisory Board and Management Board that he plans to retire before the end of 2004. Dunn, 59, has served in his current position since 1999. A native of the UK, Dunn plans to dedicate his time to travel and family after retirement. Dunn will work with the Supervisory and Management Boards on a smooth transition and the timing of his retirement.

"I am proud of what we have accomplished at ASML. No one could call the past 5 years dull - the industry went from its highest highs to its lowest lows. After 35 years in semiconductors, I will miss the excitement," said Doug Dunn, president and CEO, ASML. "I can assure the Board, employees, customers, colleagues and shareholders that my commitment to ASML remains unchanged."

ASML has retained an executive search firm to assist in identifying a successor. According to the statutes of ASML, the Supervisory Board will appoint the new CEO.

About ASML

ASML is the world's leading provider of lithography systems for the semiconductor industry, manufacturing complex machines that are critical to the production of integrated circuits or chips. Headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands, ASML is traded on Euronext Amsterdam and NASDAQ under the symbol ASML. For more information, visit the Web site at www.asml.com.

Conference Call - New Time

A conference call hosted by ASML CEO Doug Dunn and CFO Peter Wennink to discuss the 2003 Q4 and annual financial results will begin today, January 15, 2004, at 16.30 Central European Time / 10.30 Eastern US Time. Dial in numbers are as follows: the Netherlands - +31 45 631 6902; the UK - +44 208 515 2304; and the US - +1 303 262 2127.

The conference call will be Web cast on ASML.com and available for replay until January 22, 2004 by dialing +1 303 590 3000, pass code #564548.

Forward Looking Statements

This document includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to: economic conditions, product demand and semiconductor industry capacity, competitive products and pricing, manufacturing efficiencies, new product development, ability to enforce patents, the outcome of intellectual property litigation, availability of raw materials and critical manufacturing equipment, trade environment and other risks indicated in filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.



To: SemiBull who wrote (888)1/21/2004 8:03:17 AM
From: Proud_Infidel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 43426
 
These people are either (a) geniuses, or (b) going to have egg all over their face(maybe a full blown omellette). My own guess is (b). BofA has been one of the most Bearish on the group. They DOWNGRADE to sell but RAISE their price target?!?!

7:20AM ASML cut to Sell from Neutral at BofA Sec 21.95: BofA Sec downgrades to Sell based on view that current stock price is more than discounting a cyclical recovery but it is not discounting the secular issues ahead of the company. Firm's tgt price goes to $12 from $9.