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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockman_scott who wrote (8549)	1/6/2004 12:22:17 AM
From: American Spirit	Respond to of 10965

Expect Kerry to make a strong surge in New Hampshire UNLESS he does poorly in Iowa. People in NH know Kerry, know he's a fighter and winner, know he's been p;unished al;ready for his "arrogance" (a myth really) and love him (80% approval rating, even better than dean's 79%). Dean's electability issue is also no doubt hurting him. Clark is not at all likely to be anywhere close to Kerry or Dean. Likely it will be 40% Dean, 25% Kerry and 15% Clark. Unless Kery does really well in Iowa (where Clark isn't competing) and then he could actually be the comeback kid and get 35%. Last year Kerry would have expected to get 50% so 35% is realistic if he's surging. A 15% showing for Clark would be very respectable. Lieberman is the one who might bomb out IMHO. Bottomline, half the voters probably wont make up their minds until a few days before the voting.