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Strategies & Market Trends : JAPAN-Nikkei-Time to go back up? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Julius Wong who wrote (3618)1/7/2004 7:56:25 PM
From: RealMuLan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3902
 
but what about the "baby boomers -- those who are 40-50 now" getting old? I don't think the problem in Japan can be solved, it will be eased for a decade or two, and then it will get worse than this round.



To: Julius Wong who wrote (3618)1/7/2004 8:46:34 PM
From: Michael Young  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3902
 
I recall seeing Harry Dent speak a few years ago. His market work is largely based on demographic trends.

He claimed that demographic trends will remain favorable for the US economy until the latter part of this decade. Japan will just be starting bullish demographic trends at that point.

MIKE



To: Julius Wong who wrote (3618)1/7/2004 11:54:20 PM
From: mopgcw  Respond to of 3902
 
The problem will be solved by nature

yes, but it will be quite painful and long until it is solved, and it won't be solved in 2005...What will be curious to see are the choices the government will make to deal with the issues, Japan will no longer be able to extend influence via checkbook..

As far as Japan having bullishe demographic trends, I would love to see that be the case. Unfortunately it is far from reality.


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