To: RealMuLan who wrote (44471 ) 1/10/2004 3:34:18 AM From: elmatador Respond to of 74559 Security counsel Published: January 10 2004 4:00 | Last Updated: January 10 2004 4:00 news.ft.com Only a masochist could claim to enjoy transatlantic air travel in recent years. Poor links with airports, overloaded terminals and congested air space have made delay endemic, while cramped accommodation and airline catering have done little for comfort. Over Christmas, however, new security measures have added delays before take-off, a ban on queueing for toilets, the presence of armed sky marshals, longer queues at immigration - and soon lengthy US visa applications. The weary traveller could be forgiven for seeing it all as an overreaction by politicians intent on covering their backs. Such cynicism is encouraged by the reliance of the security authorities on intelligence about terrorist intentions that cannot be wholly shared with those at risk. The credibility of such information has been weakened by the intelligence failures that were used to justify the war in Iraq over non-existent weapons of mass destruction. And, by its nature, intelligence is best on finding out what Donald Rumsfeld calls the "known unknowns" - the things we know we do not know. Much of the security effort is therefore focused on opportunities to use air travel to launch suicide bombing strikes along the lines of the terrorist attack on America of September 11 2001. The terrorists have the advantage of surprise by being able to choose different strategies for their strikes - Mr Rumsfeld's "unknown unknowns". Such strategies have already been seen in the bombing of places such as Bali, Morocco, Kenya and Turkey. These attacks have been on much softer targets than the US and its allies but they have demonstrated that the initiative still lies with the terrorists. And while US and European governments must continue to defeat every attempt to attack them, the terrorists need only occasional success to achieve their aim. In this context, talk of "victory" in the war against terrorism is unhelpful. Previous terrorist movements, from the Russian revolutionaries in the 19th century to the Basque nationalists and the Irish republicans of recent decades, have rarely suffered military defeat. Where they have been defeated, it was because governments minimised the impact of their campaigns until the perpetrators realised they could not achieve their aims. The challenge facing the leaders of countries now threatened by terrorist attack is to create the conditions under which a similar conclusion can be reached. The temptation is to exaggerate the threat, to avoid criticism of complacency when attacks succeed. Yet the result can be to heighten fear needlessly, leaving everyone worse off. That means governments have to strike the right balance between security and freedom of movement. Globalisation and international mobility have made the terrorist's job much easier, particularly for the suicide bomber prepared to die in an aircraft, train or truck. The danger is that the search for 100 per cent security makes the world a less connected place, whose fearful citizens dare not travel abroad - yet still succumb to unexpected attacks. Everything reasonable that can be done to make life difficult for terrorists must be done, even if it is unpalatable. But what is done must be demonstrably effective and not imposed in a manner that undermines the international co-operation essential to defeating terrorism. Meanwhile, we shall all have to be a little more patient when planning flights to the US; but it may be too much to expect us to develop better self-control when nature calls during the flight