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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (522131)	1/10/2004 2:00:46 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

Bush leads Dean with 51 percent, compared to 43 percent for Dean. (In the last poll, Bush led Dean by 13 points). Against Clark, Bush gets 50 percent v. 41 percent for Clark. (In December, Bush led Clark by 12 points.). Kerry trails Bush 41 percent v. 52 percent (Bush has increased his lead against Kerry by one point since the December poll); and Lieberman trails 41 percent v. 52 percent

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (522131)	1/10/2004 2:09:54 PM
From: PROLIFE	Respond to of 769670

Message 19676050

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (522131)	1/10/2004 3:04:41 PM
From: Hope Praytochange	Respond to of 769670

Campaign in Iowa Is Called Pivotal and Still Close By ADAM NAGOURNEY Published: January 11, 2004 ES MOINES, Jan. 10 — Eight days before the Iowa caucuses that will start the voting for the Democratic presidential nomination, Howard Dean and Richard A. Gephardt are battling for dominance in what many Democrats describe as the most contested and potentially decisive caucus campaign their party has seen here in 16 years. Dr. Dean, the former governor of Vermont who has spent two years methodically campaigning through all 99 counties in Iowa, today finds himself in the unlikely position of leading the Democratic field in national polls in his very first bid for national office. The transformation of Dr. Dean's candidacy was underscored by his scheduled appearances in eastern Iowa Saturday with two faces of the Democratic establishment: Senator Tom Harkin, the dominant Democrat in this state, whose endorsement on Friday provided a big boost to his campaign, and Al Gore, the party's 2000 presidential nominee. But Mr. Gephardt, the congressman from neighboring Missouri, won the caucuses here in 1988 and still has a strong base of support. He has moved aggressively to block a Dean victory in Iowa, which his own aides said would almost certainly spell an end to Mr. Gephardt's second bid for the presidency. Mr. Gephardt spent Saturday again campaigning through the tiny farming communities that his campaign believes can power him to victory, as representatives from nearly two dozen unions put the finishing touches on a get-out-the-vote operation that Mr. Gephardt's advisers said will counter what even they describe as the phenomenal enthusiasm of Dr. Dean's supporter. "It is a very tight race," Gov. Tom Vilsack of Iowa, a Democrat who declined to endorse a candidate, said in an interview.

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (522131)	1/10/2004 3:06:27 PM
From: Hope Praytochange	Respond to of 769670

The candidates have responded by splurging on television advertisements, attack mailings, and by building huge and ambitious get-out-the-vote operations. Their efforts, apparent this weekend in bustling campaign headquarters filled with people who clearly are not from Iowa, reflect the calculation that the outcome could prove pivotal in determining who the Democrats nominate in Boston next summer to run against President Bush. "It's going to be a fight to convince the undecideds," said Jeff Link, a long-time Democratic strategist and adviser to Mr. Harkin. In endorsing Dr. Dean on Friday, Mr. Harkin specifically said he trying to sway "those who are undecided." That appeal reflected concern among Dr. Dean's advisers about a last-minute rush of support to other candidates by these voters. Mr. Gephardt, in his second bid for president, has embraced traditional methods of winning this contest, putting to service veterans of the Iowa caucuses and importing labor leaders to replicate the get-out-the-vote operation he used in winning the caucuses in 1988.

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (522131)	1/10/2004 3:07:47 PM
From: Hope Praytochange	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

By the measure of campaign polls and a survey released Saturday today by The Chicago Tribune and The Los Angeles Times, Mr. Gephardt and Dr. Dean are fighting for the lead. In the Tribune-Times poll of 640 likely Democratic caucusgoers, conducted from Monday through Wednesday, 30 percent said they would support Dr. Dean, and 23 percent named Mr. Gephardt. That difference falls within the poll's margin of error, and thus in theory, at least, the two men might be tied Mr. Kerry was named by 18 percent of the respondents, followed by Mr. Edwards with 11 percent. Representative Dennis J. Kucinich of Ohio is also making a spirited run here, and he has pockets of support across the state. Former Senator Carol Moseley Braun of Illinois is running what many Democrats described as a perfunctory campaign here. General Clark, Senator Lieberman and the Rev. Al Sharpton of New York, for their party, are focusing on New Hampshire and the other states that follow Iowa.