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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: energyplay who wrote (44554)1/12/2004 3:34:20 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 74559
 
1:50 before Summer.



To: energyplay who wrote (44554)1/12/2004 3:43:11 AM
From: EL KABONG!!!  Respond to of 74559
 
Hi ep,

At around 1.35 or thereabouts, Germany reaches the breaking point. Italy and Spain go to maybe 1.40, and France maybe about 1.42 but no more. Great Britain might last until 1.50, but I don't think so.

At some point, the Central Banks of Europe have to intervene in the currency markets to protect their own interests, vis a vis Japan. That point is likely to be somewhere under 1.50, maybe less. How much can they influence the currency markets? If Japan can be used as an example, then they (Europe) can prolong the nasties for as long as they desire, or until their own economies succumb to global currency pressures, or the US$ recovers, whichever comes first... <g>

KJC



To: energyplay who wrote (44554)1/12/2004 7:37:48 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 74559
 
<<I'm leaning towards an overshoot to about 1.80>> ... with gold tracking, then at USD 614/oz ?

Ok, I will bite. I GUESS Euro 2004 high at 1.549, and back down to 1.30 :0)