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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Silver Super Bull who wrote (4862)1/12/2004 12:40:06 PM
From: Silver Super Bull  Respond to of 110194
 
As I've mentioned previously, I'm still in awe at how the general investor seems willing to accept two wildly dichotomous assumptions: strong economic growth (putatively reflected by the booming stock market and many euphoric valuations) and ultra-low interest rates throughout the spectrum (which would seem to indicate very weak growth)

"Strong economic growth" and 4.05% ten-year treasuries just doesn't seem to be a congruent story.



To: Silver Super Bull who wrote (4862)1/12/2004 12:51:05 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Respond to of 110194
 
don't think many companies, especially retailers, will be willing or able to absorb rising costs without passing them on

retailers haven't been absorbing them--manufacturers have. with the weaker dollar, this is a negative for European car markers, for example. retailers, however, look to be turning over. many have pointed to WMT's chart as an ominous sign for the consumer.
bigcharts.marketwatch.com



To: Silver Super Bull who wrote (4862)1/12/2004 12:56:24 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 110194
 
I think the inflationary "pandora's box" has been opened and I don't think it will be closed quickly, regardless of whether companies or consumers are willing to "pay up" for items.

If there is no demand prices will fall. Period.
Look at cars, they have to offer 0% rates for 8 years now to sell them. Yes I said 8.

Mish