To: sylvester80 who wrote (34897 ) 1/13/2004 10:30:36 AM From: jlallen Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467 The Non-Treasury Secretary Most Washington memoirs recount how much power or influence someone had. So give Paul O'Neill credit for being a maverick even while impugning colleagues and betraying confidences to sell a book. His heavily hyped memoir reveals both how and why President Bush's first Treasury Secretary was irrelevant.Mr. O'Neill cooperated fully with author Ron Suskind, a former Wall Street Journal reporter and well-known Bush antagonist, sharing recollections and 19,000 documents as well as fact-checking the final manuscript. After reading it, we're amazed he wasn't fired sooner. Mr. Bush apparently thought he was getting a smart veteran of the Nixon and Ford Administrations -- a former CEO recommended by Vice President Dick Cheney and Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan. The expectation was that Mr. O'Neill would be both credible with business and politically astute.Instead, he got a policy and political blunderbuss who must not have been paying attention during the 2000 Presidential campaign. In "The Price of Loyalty," Mr. O'Neill reveals that he disagreed with much of the Bush agenda, especially with tax cuts. Three years later the record shows that Mr. Bush was right to ignore Mr. O'Neill's counsel. The Bush tax cuts helped to make the recession one of the mildest on record -- despite the burst stock-market bubble, corporate scandals, 9/11 and war. And now the recovery is well under way, with the third quarter's 8.2% growth rate the fastest since 1984. Mr. Suskind's book is especially shallow in the way it casts the tax cut debate as a replay of the 1980s fight between "idealogues" and "pragmatists." The idealogue/tax-cutters are supposed to be the villains. But Suskind-O'Neill haven't bothered to notice that even the major tax-cut opponents from the Reagan-Bush I era have come around. Writing on this page last year, Reagan Treasury Secretary James Baker called himself a "reformed drunk" on tax relief. "The paradoxical lesson of the '80s is that when marginal rates are too high, cutting them is -- thanks to the resulting economic growth -- a win-win policy for both taxpayers and the treasury," Mr. Baker wrote. "This is not voodoo economics; it's hard, cold reality." David Stockman, whom the Gipper famously took to the woodshed, has also been persuaded. Asked on CNBC's "Kudlow and Cramer" this fall whether he supported Mr. Bush's tax cuts and war on terror, the Reagan budget director replied: "He is on the right track on both. I support both."Mr. O'Neill describes Mr. Bush as not listening. But clearly the problem was that the President tuned him out early and didn't trust him enough to engage. This meant that even when Mr. O'Neill was right on the merits -- such as opposing steel tariffs -- he had no clout. It's hard to believe the same thing would have happened to Mr. Baker, or Bill Simon, or for that matter Robert Rubin.The defrocked Treasury Secretary also assails Mr. Bush for preparing to depose Saddam Hussein two years before the war in Iraq. He and his co-author overlook that even President Clinton wanted to remove Saddam, signing a bill that made that official U.S. policy. The 1998 Iraq Liberation Act was passed by a unanimous Senate and a near-unanimous House. All in all, the real story of this book is that Mr. Bush early on saw his mistake in hiring Mr. O'Neill, and cut his losses. This contrasts with his father, who retained budget director Dick Darman and Treasury Secretary Nicholas Brady long after their counsel had proven disastrous. But there is a larger warning here as well, having to do with the dangers of a weak Treasury. The Bush Administration has tried to run economic policy out of its hip pocket, which is to say the White House. While that has worked on tax policy, it is dangerous when it comes to managing the breadth of financial and global issues. Mr. O'Neill's main contribution on this score was to play the dashiki-clad straight man to Bono in Africa. While John Snow is a big improvement on fiscal policy, and on public decorum, he seems to share the White House blind spot on the dollar and international currencies. Over at Defense, another ex-CEO and veteran of the Nixon and Ford Administrations has been doing just fine. Next time, Mr. Bush needs a Don Rumsfeld at Treasury. Updated January 13, 2004 WSJ, Review & Outlookonline.wsj.com .