SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 50% Gains Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: - with a K who wrote (36349)1/13/2004 3:27:19 PM
From: Carl WorthRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 118717
 
i guess he is figuring what a stock is worth based on a longer term hold, since he is using the growth rate over the next 5 to 10 years (good luck figuring that out accurately these days <g>, but with many small companies you can at least give them a presupposed minimum below which you probably wouldn't want to own them anyway)

if HELE grew at 15% a year, using earnings of 2.40 for next year, it would be several years before it would be worth 67 bucks, but if you give it a multiple of 20, which isn't out of line for the industry, and is more than fair for HELE, which is growing much more rapidly than the industry average, then a target of 45 to 50 seems reasonable at this point

the main argument against HELE in the past has been that they don't have positive free cash flow, apparently because they keep building up inventories, and had bought some equipment...i don't see cash flow in today's report, it will be interesting to see what it looks like in the 10Q

carl