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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (5088)1/14/2004 4:48:03 PM
From: yard_man  Respond to of 110194
 
seen Hamilton's stuff -- I think we have another day or two of gold selling -- shares may have bottomed today or they could have another bad day ...

there's nothing magic about the 200 dma. I do agree with Hamilton -- if one is trading -- such an approach can be part of a decent timing system, but it isn't a lock.



To: mishedlo who wrote (5088)1/14/2004 4:54:29 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Almost Normal: Of Fat Tails, Mean Reversion, and Survival
efficientfrontier.com



To: mishedlo who wrote (5088)1/14/2004 6:31:52 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Mish:

Congratulations on your T-bond call. So far you have been absolutely right and i have been wrong. Doug Noland in his latest essay on Prudent Bear warned about a possible new surge in bond prices adding further fuel to all the bubbles now extant. I still find it hard to believe how reckless and irresponsible today's Fed is. In this they seem to be mirroring the Bush regime.

Today's drop in T-bond yields below 4% did trigger another modest move up in junk bonds.