To: Win Smith who wrote (123226 ) 1/14/2004 7:42:00 PM From: carranza2 Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500 Good grief, Win, you are doing exactly what you accuse the Adminstration of doing. Your quotations from the Pollack interview are pathetically selective. For example, there is this response on Pollack's part you left out that needs to be included:You too were a believer in the idea that Saddam had weapons of mass destruction. How did that happen and on what evidence did you come to that conclusion? My evidence came straight from the intelligence community. As an analyst at the CIA and as a member of the NSC when Hussein Kamel defected, everything I saw indicated that the Iraqis still had these programs. When I went back to the NSC in the late 1990s, I was simply relying on the intelligence community to tell me what the right answer was. I did not simply accept their judgment uncritically, however. I did press them, and I asked them why they thought what they thought. They seemed to have reasonable answers and sources out there. I pressed them on why they believed their sources, and they responded with what seemed like a reasonable set of suppositions. I was certainly not alone in this—this was a consensus among the U.S. government, it was a consensus among the UN inspectors, it was a consensus of American experts outside the U.S. government. In fact, it was a consensus in the entire international community. It's important to remember that any intelligence service or country with the ability to monitor Iraq and its weapons programs—Germany, France, Britain, Russia, Israel—was a hundred percent certain that Saddam had these programs. There may have been some debate over just how aggressive they were or how far along they were. The Germans were the most alarmist of all on the subject of a nuclear weapon. They thought the Iraqis might have one in as little as two or three years. Our own intelligence community tended to be a little more conservative; they thought it was more like four to six years away—or five to seven. But no one doubted that Saddam had these weapons. At the conclusion of the interview, Pollack faults the Administration for making political decisions with respect to national security issues; my opinion is that Pollack is singularly unsuited to make this criticism because he is by training and avocation a non-political player. My opinion FWIW is that Bush made a decision that was both political and based on national security issues--they always overlap, despite the old saw that national security issues should transcend politics. The decision, I think, was to take out Saddam during Bush's first term as there is no certainty that he would be re-elected. A Dem President would quite possibly face greater dangers from Saddam yet be unwilling to do what needed to be done. I think this adequately explains the timing, which seems to be an issue that troubles reasonable people like Pollack. Because the timing was critical, the political job of getting the thing done took precedence, though ultimately it was a national security issue whose end result was amply justified for a large number of reasons that have been discussed here at great length.