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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (8957)1/14/2004 11:33:13 PM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10965
 
Kerry is going to hammer Dean in NH next week. He has been waiting and has extra ammo he hasn't spent yet. He also has the most formidable team of NH political powers of anyone. I figure Dean has about 30% bedrock support in NH but that may be about all he gets. Clark has surged but Kerry will catch up. My fealress prediction is something like Dean 33%, Kerry 27%, Clark %24, Lieberman 10%. Given the recent 30% lead by Dean that will be viewed a a loss by dean even though he actually wins it. After that, the entire Dean campaign may start unraveling, thugh he will make it all the way to the convention with about 25% of the delegates.
By then Clark and Kerry could also have 25% or more. That will mean that someone like Edwards or Lieberman could decide the nomination. A Kery-Edwards ticket would be extremely attractive if Kerry and Clark can't work it out. I still don't see Clark as the nominee for some reason.