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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: DRBES who wrote (180579)	1/15/2004 11:20:10 AM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 1575900

Don tbe surprised to see President John F. Kerry. He'll make a great one.

To: DRBES who wrote (180579)	1/15/2004 5:28:32 PM
From: hmaly	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1575900

DRBS Re..It is all about momentum and Kerry just edged ahead of Dean. To the moon Howard, to the moon I am not sure if it is momentum. I think Dean dropped 3 points overnight because Carol Mosely Braun dropped out, and gave her endorsement to Dean. How many more times can she hurt Dean, doing that?

To: DRBES who wrote (180579)	1/15/2004 7:11:47 PM
From: tejek	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1575900

Iowa race this year: closest in decades Monday's caucuses are likely to have a greater impact than usual on the primaries that follow. By Liz Marlantes \| Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor DES MOINES – As Iowa Democrats prepare to kick off the presidential nominating process in just three days, this year's caucuses are shaping up to be the closest - and most critical - in decades. Depending on who emerges next Monday night, the Democratic race could seem on the verge of being over - or else be blown wide open. The race is already unusually turbulent, with Iowa polls dramatically tightening in the final days, and now showing Howard Dean in a virtual three-way tie with Dick Gephardt and John Kerry, with John Edwards close behind. But the caucuses will present the first concrete test of each candidate's strength - from the appeal of his message, to the commitment of his supporters, to the muscle of his organizations. And while Iowa's caucuses have long had a winnowing effect on the field, this year's contest is likely to have a greater impact than usual, due to the front-loaded primary calendar - which places New Hampshire just one week later, and a series of seven primaries the week after that. If Iowans hand a big victory to Dr. Dean, it would give the former Vermont governor a significant boost heading into New Hampshire, and the chance to effectively end the race with an early one-two punch. But if Dean loses here, or even if he just ekes out a victory, he could find himself facing a tough, protracted battle against as many as two or three surging opponents. Indeed, some observers believe a Dean loss could even deal a near-fatal blow to his candidacy, endangering his chances in New Hampshire, where his lead, although strong, has been shrinking in the face of a surge by retired Gen. Wesley Clark. "If Dean loses, Dean plummets," says John Zogby, an independent pollster who is producing a daily tracking poll in Iowa. "If Dean loses, there's going to be two people who've defied expectations ... and whoever the two guys are will really suck up the oxygen and dominate New Hampshire - so now you've got a three-way race." csmonitor.com