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Politics : Just the Facts, Ma'am: A Compendium of Liberal Fiction -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Oeconomicus who wrote (3072)	1/15/2004 12:03:52 PM
From: Original Mad Dog	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 90947

It appears that Democrats are coming to their senses about Howard Dean: story.news.yahoo.com (latest Reuters poll shows Kerry, Dean, Gephardt and Edwards all within the margin of error, and Kerry actually got slightly more support than the others) I think the Dem race will be down to five candidates very quickly... those four plus Clark. Braun is already out, Sharpton is not running for the nomination anyway, Kucinich isn't serious, and Lieberman doesn't seem to have much support for whatever reason. The way the Dem nominating process is set up, an "outsider" such as Dean can't win the nomination outright without very strong support in many primaries. There are so many "superdelegates" outside the primary/caucus process that Dean would have to win most of the available delegates in the primaries to be assured the nomination, and it does not appear that he can hang on to do that. The only thing saving him right now is that no clear alternative has emerged from among Clark, Kerry, Gephardt, and Edwards. If one of those four can leap forward from the pack they might win the nomination.