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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Real Man who wrote (5147)1/15/2004 1:58:03 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
VI I just do NOT buy that one bit.
If one lived abroad that is true.
For someone living in the US, that 30% drop in the US$ probably matters about oh shall we say 2-5%.
Health costs are not going up because of the falling $.
Manufactacored good are still falling in price.

For someone in Europe buying the DOW they perhaps made nothing. A claim that those in the USA made nothing either is quite simply preposterous IMO.

Mish



To: Real Man who wrote (5147)1/15/2004 9:14:42 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
my comments were very narrowly focused on two different plays -- calls on Eurodollars versus selling puts on Eurodollars -- my conviction is that rates could go lower, but that there is a greater liklihood of them not going higher -- that was all I was commenting on -- I've no position in Eurodollars. Only long RYGBX ...

Bond blow-up is consensus -- folks have been calling for it since the dollar first turned down. Someone told me yesterday that Rydex bear/bull ratio was 21 ... appears smaller investors are all on one side of the boat -- the side you like. Have fun.