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Strategies & Market Trends : Bonds, Currencies, Commodities and Index Futures -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: playavermont who wrote (3094)	1/16/2004 12:38:22 PM
From: upanddown	Respond to of 12411

What are the chances we see 4.3% to 4.4% long bond before the next move up in yields? Ii may go lower but I doubt we will see 4.3-4.4%. It did that last spring but economic conditions were much weaker then. The Fed has clearly signaled that the next move is UP and with these huge govt deficits about to be financed, I think we may be close to the bottom. I really see it as an alternative to equity exposure. The period when rates have been rising in recent years (late spring into summer) coincides with the historically weakest period for equity returns (Jun-Aug). finance.yahoo.com If I could beat money market returns during the time I am in one of these inverse bond funds, i would be happy.