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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lucretius who wrote (68317)1/17/2004 1:45:54 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Pullback is based on options expiration. Robots are trading
these markets. We can expect them to do something
collectively, it's not uncommon.For example, they always
trade opposite to the market when we are more than 2
standard deviations away from the mean. If the markets
are liquid, robots always make money, that's why they are
allowed to trade.
Humans are trading these
markets along with robots, but their collective behavior is
more complicated and is harder to predict. -g- That's why I'm
saying pullback, based on
robot trading. Robots should sell next week. Will humans
buy the dip
or sell? I don't know. If the pullback breaks some support
levels, such as 50 DMA or 50 RSI, humans will get scared -g-.
Robots are never scared, they will attempt to buy the dip,
but if humans are too scared, they might not succeed doing
so. Robots are never afraid to short either. -g-



To: Lucretius who wrote (68317)1/17/2004 7:14:13 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
why not 88?
Actually a more realistic view is:
Why not up to the election?
Then if there is to be a "crash"
Why not get it out of the way in the first two years

Mish