Interesting comparison by DSEL on SH - TAH vs SGF
stockhouse.com
In the past few days, there has been a fair amount of discussion on this forum about SGF vs TAH. I thought I would do a quick check and run some numbers to compare them.
1. Tahera (TAH)
This info was taken from the www.tahera.com website.
Total Resource= 7,100,000 tonnes @ 0.84 cpt Mineral Reserve= 2,600,000 tonnes @ 1.2 cpt Total carats produced over 8 year mine life= 3,115,000 carats Operating cost /carat= Cdn$56/carat Total project capital= Cdn$65,403,000 Diamond valuation= US$92/carat (WWW modeled diamond valuation) No. of shares fully diluted= 547,600,000
From the above info can calculate the following:
Operating cost /tonne= (Cdn$56/carat x 3,115,000 carats)/2,600,000 tonnes= Cdn$67/tonne at 1.30 exchange rate equates to US$51.61/tonne
Total project capital= Cdn$65,403,000 at 1.3 exchange = US$50,310,000 US$50,310,000 amortized at 10% interest over 8 year mine life equates to annual capital recovery of US$9,160,944/year.
At an average mining rate of 2,600,000 tonnes/8 years= 325,000 tonnes per year the capital recovery equates to US$9,160,944/year / 325,000 tonnes/ year = US$28.18/tonne
So cost/tonne= US$51.61/tonne + US$28.18/tonne= US$79.79/tonne
Kimberlite value = US$92/carat x 1.2 carat/tonne= US$110.40/tonne
Earnings calculation:
US$110.40 - US$79.79/tonne= US$30.61/tonne earnings US$30.61/tonne x 325,000 tonne/year= US$9,948,250/year earnings US$9,948,250/year x 1.30= Cdn$12,932,725/year Cdn$12,932,725/year / 547,600,000 shares= Cdn$0.024/share Trading at 10 times earnings share price= Cdn$0.24/share
TAH currently trading at Cdn$0.40/share
Note that once the capital is repaid after 8 years, the remaining (lower grade) part of the resource becomes economic to mine.
2. Shore Gold (SGF)
See my post of 10/28/03 stockhouse.ca
Total Resource= 500,000,000 tonnes @ 0.18 cpt Mineral Reserve=? Total carats over 20 year mine life= 20,000,000 tonnes/year x 20 years x 0.18 carat/tonne= 72,000,000 carats Operating cost/tonne= US$9.00/tonne Capital cost= US$500,000,00 Capital recovery cost=US$3.00/tonne Diamond valuation=US$100/carat Mining rate= 20,000,000 tonnes/year for 20 years = 400,000,000 tonnes No. of shares fully diluted = 50,566,838 (as of Dec 31 according to Shore website)
Kimberlite value= US$100/carat x 0.18 carat/tonne= US$18.00/tonne Cost/tonne= US$9.00/tonne + US$3.00/tonne= US$12.00/tonne
Earning calculation:
US$18.00 - US$12.00/tonne= US$6.00/tonne earnings US$6.00/tonne x 20,000,000 tonne/year= US$120,000,000/year earnings US$120,000,000/year x 1.30= Cdn$156,000,000/year Cdn$156,000,000/year / 50,566,838 shares= Cdn$3.09/share Trading at 10 times earnings share price= Cdn$30.85/share
SGF currently trading at Cdn$1.82/share
Which stock would you rather own?
(LMBF answers SGF!) |