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Gold/Mining/Energy : Canadian Diamond Play Cafi -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: austrieconomist who wrote (1767)1/22/2004 9:37:28 PM
From: Letmebe Frank  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 16207
 
Lets hope he still has his eyes on Candian Diamonds.

Thom Calandra is leaving CBS Marketwatch. I believe his mention of TAH Tahera resulted in most of the recent impressive gain.

"We are writing to notify you of some unfortunate news regarding The Calandra Report. Effective today, January 22, 2004, we are terminating publication of The Calandra Report. Thom Calandra has resigned from MarketWatch.com, the publisher of the newsletter. To read the story which appeared today on MarketWatch.com detailing the circumstances surrounding Mr. Calandra's resignation, please click here:

cbs.marketwatch.com

We deeply regret the cancellation of this publication. Please know that our highest priority is to maintain your trust during this process. As a subscriber, you will receive a pro-rated refund for the remaining period of your subscription, calculated as of January 1, 2004. For those subscribers who signed up within 30 days of today, January 22, we will honor our 30-day full money back guarantee to you. We will be issuing your refund over the next several weeks, and you do not need to contact us in order to receive your refund.

Thank you for supporting MarketWatch.com and subscribing to The Calandra Report. We at Marketwatch.com apologize for any inconvenience this matter may have caused you. "

LMBF



To: austrieconomist who wrote (1767)1/28/2004 11:31:34 AM
From: Letmebe Frank  Respond to of 16207
 
Interesting comparison by DSEL on SH - TAH vs SGF

stockhouse.com

In the past few days, there has been a fair amount of discussion on this forum about SGF vs TAH. I thought I would do a quick check and run some numbers to compare them.

1. Tahera (TAH)

This info was taken from the www.tahera.com website.

Total Resource= 7,100,000 tonnes @ 0.84 cpt
Mineral Reserve= 2,600,000 tonnes @ 1.2 cpt
Total carats produced over 8 year mine life= 3,115,000 carats
Operating cost /carat= Cdn$56/carat
Total project capital= Cdn$65,403,000
Diamond valuation= US$92/carat (WWW modeled diamond valuation)
No. of shares fully diluted= 547,600,000

From the above info can calculate the following:

Operating cost /tonne= (Cdn$56/carat x 3,115,000 carats)/2,600,000 tonnes= Cdn$67/tonne at 1.30 exchange rate equates to US$51.61/tonne

Total project capital= Cdn$65,403,000 at 1.3 exchange = US$50,310,000
US$50,310,000 amortized at 10% interest over 8 year mine life equates to annual capital recovery of US$9,160,944/year.

At an average mining rate of 2,600,000 tonnes/8 years= 325,000 tonnes per year the capital recovery equates to US$9,160,944/year / 325,000 tonnes/ year = US$28.18/tonne

So cost/tonne= US$51.61/tonne + US$28.18/tonne= US$79.79/tonne

Kimberlite value = US$92/carat x 1.2 carat/tonne= US$110.40/tonne

Earnings calculation:

US$110.40 - US$79.79/tonne= US$30.61/tonne earnings
US$30.61/tonne x 325,000 tonne/year= US$9,948,250/year earnings
US$9,948,250/year x 1.30= Cdn$12,932,725/year
Cdn$12,932,725/year / 547,600,000 shares= Cdn$0.024/share
Trading at 10 times earnings share price= Cdn$0.24/share

TAH currently trading at Cdn$0.40/share

Note that once the capital is repaid after 8 years, the remaining (lower grade) part of the resource becomes economic to mine.

2. Shore Gold (SGF)

See my post of 10/28/03 stockhouse.ca

Total Resource= 500,000,000 tonnes @ 0.18 cpt
Mineral Reserve=?
Total carats over 20 year mine life= 20,000,000 tonnes/year x 20 years x 0.18 carat/tonne= 72,000,000 carats
Operating cost/tonne= US$9.00/tonne
Capital cost= US$500,000,00
Capital recovery cost=US$3.00/tonne
Diamond valuation=US$100/carat
Mining rate= 20,000,000 tonnes/year for 20 years = 400,000,000 tonnes
No. of shares fully diluted = 50,566,838 (as of Dec 31 according to Shore website)

Kimberlite value= US$100/carat x 0.18 carat/tonne= US$18.00/tonne
Cost/tonne= US$9.00/tonne + US$3.00/tonne= US$12.00/tonne

Earning calculation:

US$18.00 - US$12.00/tonne= US$6.00/tonne earnings
US$6.00/tonne x 20,000,000 tonne/year= US$120,000,000/year earnings
US$120,000,000/year x 1.30= Cdn$156,000,000/year
Cdn$156,000,000/year / 50,566,838 shares= Cdn$3.09/share
Trading at 10 times earnings share price= Cdn$30.85/share

SGF currently trading at Cdn$1.82/share

Which stock would you rather own?

(LMBF answers SGF!)