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Politics : HOWARD DEAN -THE NEXT PRESIDENT? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockman_scott who wrote (2290)	1/21/2004 9:14:16 PM
From: Rock_nj	Respond to of 3079

Here's how I see it at this juncture for likely Democratic tickets (of course, this will all change quickly over the next month): Clark/Edwards - 30% Kerry/Clark - 20% Kerry/Edwards - 15% Clark/Kerry - 15% Dean/Edwards - 10% Dean/Clark - 10% Obviously, I'm thinking that Dean doesn't have what it takes to win nationally. His poor showing in Iowa indicates that his message won't play with middle America. If he loses New Hampshire, that would really be bad news. He can't even win a Northeastern state next to his own state?!? That could spell the end of his campaign. In any case, I think Dean is going to have a really hard time winning in the South and Midwest. That is where Clark might pick up some states and momomentum. It seems like Clark or Kerry will most likely be the Democratic nominee. Dean probably peaked too early and made too many newbie mistakes and will most likely fade over time. We shall see......