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To: Henry Niman who wrote (274936)1/23/2004 8:02:50 AM
From: Tom Smith  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 436258
 
flu vectored by wild fowl will be impossible to contain....compound that with rural/farm domesticated fowl in the numbers likely in China (hundreds of millions?) and the fuse is lit. For such a widespread avian disease, however, the human attack rate seems low and the lack of confirmed human to human spread is anomalously encouraging. Perhaps it's more virulent in genetically susceptible individuals but not very infectious......I'm waiting for the first healthcare worker to fall ill, confirming communicability. What's the chance of recombinance with current human flu viruses? Is every case of influenza in China being screened for H5N1?