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Non-Tech : Deflation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (248)1/23/2004 7:59:10 AM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 621
 
Hi Mq - the virtue of being able to understand math while thinking about economics is that it acts as a check on one's theories. Some things are easy - a pie can only be cut into so many shares and then you run out of pie.

In a sense, I suppose we're always talking about how many slices of pie there are to go around, but when you start throwing in exchange rates and interest rates and the time value of money, it becomes more of a moving target, at least for me.

But the best ideas can be expressed using only words, you're absolutely right. A basic economic theory doesn't need interest rates and time value of money to be expressed in a simple, thoroughly comprehensible fashion.

The real problem is that a lot of people only believe the words they want to hear. This is an almost universal problem. It helps if you understand their inherent biases, so you can fill in the bits they've left off.

Hume explained exchange rate theory perfectly circa 1750, but a lot of people don't want to believe it, so they don't. It's as inexorable as the sun rising in the morning, but not as obvious.

I suppose another explanation is that most people spout nonsense all the time, so it's hard to know whether someone knows what they're talking about. So that's another incentive not to believe what you don't want to believe anyway. They'd rather believe in Karl Marx or the Easter Bunny or that money grows on trees, so they do.