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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (5953)1/23/2004 1:04:29 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
yes, double dip recession is the rule, not the exception
with all the monetary and fiscal stimulus, it has been delayed
all this consumer spending does NADA to build a recovery
IT spending is on the rise, curiously
but it will not prevent the recession though
because it is supporting and solidying outsourced jobs

I stick with my main point in the last article
govt reflation efforts are raising costs nationwide
and thus accelerating the outsourced jobs movement

yes, agreed, Roach got the double dip wrong in 2003
it will be pushed back to late 2004 or all thru 2005
nobody is perfect, but I do find Roach to be by far the best of the best among US economists
his powers of diagnosis and analysis are unsurpassed
he offers little in a remedy though, EVER
that is his biggest failing, not incorrect forecast elements

/ jim