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Technology Stocks : Lam Research (LRCX, NASDAQ): To the Insiders -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jong Hyun Yoo who wrote (4944)1/24/2004 1:08:31 PM
From: All Mtn Ski  Respond to of 5867
 
Excellent points and I completely agree with you on 1, 2 & 4. Rationality with relation to CAPEX has returned and only bottom line justifiable purchases like leading edge and 300mm are being pursued. Fundamentally, they are well positioned for taking advantage of a sustained upturn in the business, and if that happens, they will be great stock performers.

3, I think is where we have a different opinion, and only time will tell, but certainly the picture will be getting clearer over the next 6-9 months regarding 2005.

I think the stocks, even if my scenario plays out, should do well along with the market through summer. An aggressive administration in an election year also helps. I feel a pullback is imminent, we'll see how deep it goes, but the semi equips should make new highs with the market later this spring/summer.

I've seen these stocks fall on sequentially better fundamentals and rise on poor ones about 6-9 months prior to the actual turn in business, so its hard to stick with a set time-frame and not open yourself up to additional risks in holding these stocks in the process. Missing out on longer runs aside, I have found trading a weeks-long or months-long trend to work for me in making gains and keeping what you made.

A-M-S



To: Jong Hyun Yoo who wrote (4944)1/26/2004 10:18:34 AM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5867
 
Pretty stunning drop from $35.50 to $27.79 current price!

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[de][pb50!b200!f][vc60][iut!Ub14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

I sold some at $34.68 and $30.00 on the way up to take profits... Might buy them back if we go low enough...

The PnF is giving a very low target of $22
stockcharts.com
I think $22 would be a steal...

Any ideas why LRCX is getting hit so hard relative to the others?